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云姨夜话|“香水效应”已成为新“口红效应”,“香”市仍在升温
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-06-18 03:02
Group 1: Company Overview - Estee Lauder's recent Q3 2025 financial results show a 10% year-over-year revenue decline, marking a larger drop compared to the first two quarters of the fiscal year [2] - The new CEO, Stéphane de La Faverie, is the first to lead the company without direct involvement from the founding family, following the departure of third-generation family members [2] - The importance of the fragrance segment is emphasized, with predictions of a global fragrance market size reaching $59.87 billion in 2024, maintaining a compound annual growth rate of 3.01% from 2024 to 2028 [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - The "fragrance effect" is emerging as a new trend, similar to the previously recognized "lipstick effect," indicating a potential growth phase for the fragrance market [2] - The Chinese fragrance market is rapidly expanding, with projections suggesting it could reach 51.5 billion yuan by 2029, driven by the Z generation's preference for self-indulgent consumption [6][7] - The rise of traditional Chinese incense products is notable, with a 280% increase in orders for related items on platforms like Taobao since February, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [7] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Unilever is investing £80 million (approximately 7.73 billion yuan) to build a fragrance research facility in the UK, expected to be fully operational by 2027, highlighting the competitive push in fragrance innovation [3] - Estee Lauder has partnered with Dresden University of Technology and scent expert Thomas Hummel to explore the neurological connections between fragrance and emotions, aiming to support product innovation [5] - Ying Tong Holdings, a brand management company, is preparing for an IPO, with over 80% of its revenue derived from fragrances, showcasing the growing importance of this segment in the market [6]