Global Research ab 19 November 2025 First Read China Duty Free Sector Foreign duty-free operators to enter China airport stores? Event: SIA unveils duty-free tender rules Based on our channel check and tender website information, Shanghai International Airport (SIA) announced its tender plan for the duty-free area of Shanghai Pudong International Airport (PVG) and Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport (SHA): 1) The tender consists of three sections: T1 and S1 of PVG (section 1), T2 and S2 of PVG (section ...

日前，一批进口的香水运抵海南，海口海关所属椰城海关关员在海免(海口)免税店有限公司仓库对该批 商品进行现场查验。"在严把质量安全的前提下，我们有针对性调整重点节点查验模式，最大限度提升 货物周转效率。"海口海关所属椰城海关查检科副科长刘婷婷介绍。 在海南各类进口消费品中，离岛免税商品一直占据重要地位，其中香水、化妆品更属于热销大类。海免 (海口)免税店有限公司物流部经理杨树军说，缩短通关时间，能够让企业及时为消费者提供心仪的产 品。 为满足企业高效通关需要，保障进口各类消费品及时到位，海口海关主动对接辖区重点进口企业，动态 掌握进口计划与业务诉求，"点对点"为企业提供通关指导，灵活运用"远程查验"等便利模式，实现快速 验放。同时，推行单证预审等前置服务，进一步压缩整体通关时间，切实为企业节约时间与运营成本， 助力进口消费品稳定供应。(完) 中新网海口11月21日电 (张绮崔丽)随着海南自贸港红利释放，海南企业消费品进口保持增势。据海口海 关21日统计，今年前10个月海南企业进口消费品257.7亿元，同比增长6.2%。其中，10月进口消费品 22.7亿元，同比增长4.9%。 （文章来源：中国新闻网） 受自贸港政 ...

Group 1 - L'Oréal Group announced a minority stake investment in the Chinese skincare brand "LAN" through its Shanghai Meici Investment Co., marking its first investment in a local skincare brand [1] - "LAN" has achieved significant market success, ranking first in facial oil sales in China for two consecutive years (2023-2024), showcasing its innovative positioning in the market [1] - This investment reflects a strategic shift for international beauty giants from acquisition to strategic investment in the Chinese market, allowing for deeper collaboration with local brands while maintaining their independence [1][9] Group 2 - Meici Investment, established in 2022, aims to discover and nurture innovative forces in the Chinese beauty market, expanding its investment focus from fragrance to skincare technology [2] - The investment in "LAN" signifies a broader strategy to build an ecosystem in the beauty industry by focusing on brands with technological innovation and local market insights [2][7] - Previous investments by Meici include a high-end fragrance brand and a biotech company, indicating a clear investment logic centered on innovation and market understanding [4][7] Group 3 - The investment in "LAN" is part of a growing trend among international consumer giants to engage with the Chinese market through strategic investments rather than traditional acquisitions [10] - This shift is driven by changes in the Chinese market, including the rise of local brands and more mature consumer behavior, necessitating a deeper understanding and collaboration with local players [10][12] - Other international companies, like Unilever, are also adjusting their strategies in China, focusing on partnerships and acquisitions to enhance competitiveness and product offerings [12]

欢迎扫描下方二维码关注： 竞业限制 是指企业与负有保护商业秘密义务的劳动者约定，在解除或终止劳动合同后一定期限内，劳动者不得到与本单位生产或经营同类产品、从事 同类业务的有竞争关系的其他企业就业，也不得自己开业生产或经营同类产品、从事同类业务。 不是的！竞业限制有适用对象！ 入职都要签竞业限制协议吗？ 根据《劳动合同法》第二十四条规定 竞业限制的人员限于用人单位的 高级管理人员、高级技术人员和其他负有保密义务的人员 。 竞业限制的范围、地域、期限由用人单位与劳动者约定，竞业限制的约定不得违反法律、法规的规定。 注意哦 劳动者仅掌握行业通用的专业知识和技能，工作中接触到的仅为企业一般经营信息，不属于负有保密义务的人员。 员工被辞退还要遵守 竞业限制协议吗？ 《劳动合同法》第二十三条第二款规定 对负有保密义务的劳动者，用人单位可以在劳动合同或者保密协议中与劳动者约定竞业限制条款，并约定在解除或者终止劳动合同后，在竞业 限制期限内按月给予劳动者经济补偿。劳动者违反竞业限制约定的，应当按照约定向用人单位支付违约金。 《最高人民法院关于审理劳动争议案件适用 法律问题的解释（一）》第三十七条规定 当事人在劳动合同或者保密 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is implementing a restricted stock incentive plan to enhance its long-term incentive mechanism, aiming to align the interests of shareholders, the company, and management for sustainable development [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - During the 2025 Double Eleven shopping festival, the company entered the sales Top 20 list for the first time, indicating strong performance [1] - The company’s product categories, particularly in cosmetics, showed good growth momentum, with popular items like caviar cushion foundation and air lip glaze performing well [1] - The skincare segment, especially the caviar series, has significant growth potential, and the launch of 13 new perfumes in May has resulted in several best-selling products [1] Group 2: Customer Loyalty and Repurchase Rate - As of the first half of 2025, the company has 405 self-operated counters and 32 distributor counters, employing over 3,100 beauty consultants to enhance brand visibility [2] - The total number of registered members in the online and offline loyalty programs reached approximately 13.4 million and 5.6 million, respectively, with an overall repurchase rate of 26.8%, up by 2 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The main brand, MAOGEPING, ranked first in repurchase rate in the beauty and cosmetics category on the Douyin platform, reflecting increasing consumer loyalty [2] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Rating - Based on strong sales performance across online and offline channels, the company forecasts net profits of 1.21 billion, 1.58 billion, and 2.03 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 38%, 30%, and 28% respectively [2] - The company is recognized as a high-end cosmetics brand with a unique founder IP that enhances brand value, and it is expected to continue growing steadily in both skincare and cosmetics categories [2] - The company maintains a "buy" rating due to its brand value, channel advantages, and potential for future growth [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is implementing a restricted stock incentive plan to enhance its long-term incentive mechanism, aiming to align the interests of shareholders, the company, and management for sustainable growth [8] - The company has shown strong sales performance during the Double Eleven shopping festival, entering the sales Top 20 list for the first time, with significant growth in popular products [8] - The company is expanding its product range and increasing its SKU speed, which opens up growth opportunities in various market segments [8] - The company has seen a steady increase in repurchase rates, with a total of approximately 13.4 million online and 5.6 million offline registered members, leading to a comprehensive repurchase rate of 26.8%, up 2 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.21 billion, 1.58 billion, and 2.03 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 38%, 30%, and 28% respectively [8] Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 2,885.96 million RMB in 2023 to 5,153.06 million RMB in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.65% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 661.9 million RMB in 2023 to 1,212.7 million RMB in 2025, with a CAGR of 37.7% [7] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to remain strong, with values of 42.8% in 2023 and around 25% in the following years [7]

Company Overview - Ying Tong Holdings is a leading high-end perfume brand management company in China, providing distribution and market deployment services for 73 external brands as of FY25 [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of high-end consumption and the increasing penetration rate of perfumes and fragrances [1][2] - Ying Tong's brand matrix is continuously expanding, with plans to enhance self-operated retail stores and proprietary brands, which are anticipated to create new revenue and profit growth points [1][3] Industry Insights - The Chinese perfume market is projected to reach 26.5 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 15.1% from 2019 to 2024, significantly higher than the global expected growth rate of 3.5% during the same period [2] - Currently, over 50% of the domestic perfume market is dominated by overseas luxury brands, indicating a substantial opportunity for domestic brands to increase their market share [2] - The demand for perfumes in China has considerable room for growth compared to Europe and the United States, particularly in the extension from perfumes to fragrances, which could enhance market education and expand the "olfactory economy" [2] Competitive Advantages - Ying Tong has established a rich brand matrix ranging from affordable to luxury, covering various categories including skincare, home fragrances, and personal care [2] - The company maintains stable long-term relationships with its top two suppliers, EuroItalia and Yite, which accounted for 59.4% of total procurement in FY25 [2] - Ying Tong has a comprehensive channel layout with 8,302 offline sales points in China as of FY25, alongside steady growth in online channels [2] Growth Opportunities - The company is launching self-operated retail stores, such as the multi-brand perfume and fragrance collection store "Shi Fen Qi He," to enhance customer experience and increase sales [3] - Ying Tong is actively developing its proprietary brand, Santa Monica, which is expanding into eyewear, perfumes, and fragrances, with a projected CAGR of 41% for brand revenue from FY24 to FY25 [3] - The company is also exploring external acquisitions to diversify its brand matrix and deepen its channel layout [3] Market Positioning - There are concerns regarding the sustainability of the brand management model; however, historical analysis of leading overseas perfume management companies suggests that local distributors are essential for rapid market coverage and scale operations [3] - Ying Tong's operational experience and channel resources provide a unique advantage for sustainable development in the domestic market [3] Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 261 million yuan, 327 million yuan, and 412 million yuan for FY26E, FY27E, and FY28E, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.19 yuan, 0.24 yuan, and 0.30 yuan [4] - A target price of 2.86 HKD is set, corresponding to a 14X FY26E PE, reflecting the company's growth potential and market positioning [4]

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The U.S. Supreme Court's hearing on the "Trump tariffs" has raised questions about the future of U.S. tariff policies, with market expectations shifting towards a potential rejection of these tariffs [2] - The implications of different verdicts on tariffs could significantly affect macroeconomic conditions, fiscal policies, and the bond market [2] Group 2: E-commerce Industry - The e-commerce sector is expected to see moderate growth during the 2025 Double Eleven shopping festival, with GMV projected to increase by mid-to-high single digits, benefiting from platform subsidies and extended promotional timelines [3] - Major platforms are expected to show differentiated performance, with Douyin's GMV growth estimated at 20-25%, Pinduoduo at 10-15%, while JD.com may see low single-digit growth and Alibaba is expected to remain flat [3] - The competitive landscape among e-commerce platforms is anticipated to remain intense in 2026, with a focus on traffic acquisition and core user benefits [3] Group 3: Fixed Income and Asset Allocation - The asset allocation outlook for 2026 suggests a shift from "sharpness" to a more balanced approach, with a focus on identifying more certain opportunities while mitigating tail risks [4] - Key drivers for the global manufacturing cycle include the AI technology revolution and the transition of China's economic drivers, with a continued emphasis on risk assets [4] Group 4: Home Appliances Sector - The home appliance sector has seen a cumulative increase of 7.7% from January to October 2025, with retail sales driven by subsidies but showing signs of weakening marginal growth [5] - Three major trends are identified: the resilience of leading white goods manufacturers, the strengthening of smart technology in appliances, and significant growth potential in emerging technologies like AI and robotics [5] Group 5: Energy Sector - The fourth-generation nuclear power technologies are expected to gain traction due to site restrictions and resource constraints, presenting investment opportunities in related industries [6] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing demand for traditional power generation equipment and the anticipated growth in nuclear power projects [14] Group 6: Selected Companies - Gaode Infrared has been initiated with a "Buy" rating and a target price of 18.90 CNY, driven by expected growth in complete equipment orders [10] - Ying Tong Holdings, a leading high-end perfume brand manager, has been initiated with a "Buy" rating and a target price of 2.86 HKD, benefiting from the recovery in high-end consumption [10] - Harsco Electric is positioned to benefit from the normalization of third-generation nuclear approvals and the anticipated acceleration of fourth-generation nuclear development [14]

Core Insights - The Chinese perfume market is experiencing significant growth, with an average increase of over 20% in the past five years, projected to reach a market size of 250 billion yuan in 2024 and over 500 billion yuan by 2029 [2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The high-end market is dominated by international brands such as Chanel, Dior, and Jo Malone, which maintain a strong presence due to their brand heritage and technological advantages [3][4] - In the first five months of 2025, the top ten perfume brands on Taobao and Tmall were all international brands, with Chanel leading at 6.86% market share [4][5] - The import value of perfume products surpassed that of body care products for the first time in early 2025, indicating a growing demand for perfumes in China [7] Group 2: Domestic Brands - Domestic brands are increasingly entering the mid-to-high-end market, with some brands like Wenxian and Guansha achieving higher price points than international counterparts [8][9] - Cultural storytelling and Eastern aesthetics are key strategies for domestic brands to differentiate themselves and appeal to consumers [9][10] - Domestic brands have attracted investment from major players like L'Oréal and Estée Lauder, indicating growing confidence in their potential [10] Group 3: Consumer Trends - The demand for unique and personalized fragrances is rising, with consumers shifting from luxury brands to niche and culturally resonant products [10][11] - The penetration rate of the perfume market in China is only 5%, compared to over 40% in mature markets, suggesting significant room for growth [11][12] - The concept of "niche perfumes" is gaining popularity, with sales increasing by 309% year-on-year, reflecting a shift towards individual expression in fragrance choices [11][13]

Macro Insights - The central bank emphasizes the need to improve the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, indicating that monetary policy is expected to remain accommodative in the short term, but further interest rate cuts are unlikely before the end of next year [2][3][5] - The central bank's cautious outlook on global economic growth reflects concerns over a cooling labor market and potential structural challenges due to the AI wave, which has led to increased unemployment in certain sectors [3][5] Fixed Income - The focus on amortized cost bond funds is rising as they enter a concentrated opening period, with significant implications for the bond market due to the influx of funds and asset adjustments [5][6] - The report highlights that the new loan interest rate decline is narrowing, and there is a need to maintain a reasonable interest rate spread to support bank profitability [7] Power Equipment and New Energy - The new standard for electric meters is expected to boost the industry, with significant price increases observed in recent tenders, indicating a recovery in profitability for companies in this sector [8] - The global power shortage continues to drive demand for power grid investments, presenting opportunities for Chinese companies to benefit from overseas demand [8] Consumer Discretionary - Several overseas luxury brands have reported a recovery in their China business, with notable growth in sales for companies like LVMH and Estée Lauder, suggesting a gradual recovery in consumer spending in mainland China [10][19] - The report indicates that the high-end consumer market is likely to benefit from improved economic conditions and increased penetration of fragrance products [10] Chemical and Petrochemical - The report notes that the price gap for raw materials remains at a historical low, with expectations for improved profitability in the chemical sector as supply-side adjustments accelerate [9] - The long-term outlook for the chemical industry is positive, driven by demand growth from emerging markets and the exit of high-energy-consuming facilities in developed regions [9] Technology and Electronics - The investment summit highlighted a new acceleration in global computing power construction, driven by expanding demand for AI applications and innovative financing models [12] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI in reshaping the technology landscape, with significant implications for various sectors [12] Automotive and Technology - The investment summit focused on advancements in L4 autonomous driving, showcasing various applications and the acceleration of commercialization in this field [17] - The report indicates that the automotive sector is poised for growth as technology continues to evolve and regulatory challenges are addressed [17] Key Companies - Ying Tong Holdings is positioned to benefit from the recovery in high-end consumer demand, with a target price set at HKD 2.86, reflecting a strong growth outlook [19][24] - Kasei Biotech is recognized as a leading player in the biomanufacturing sector, with a target price of CNY 64.90, supported by its innovative product offerings and market expansion strategies [20][24]