Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Shouxihu Cultural Tourism Co., Ltd. has submitted its prospectus for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, leveraging its monopoly in water tourism in Yangzhou, but faces multiple risks including a single business structure, regional concentration, and uncertainties regarding its operating license [1][4]. Business Structure - The company's revenue is heavily reliant on its water tourism business, which accounted for over 85% of total income from 2022 to the first half of 2025, indicating a lack of diversification and vulnerability to risks [2][3]. - Other business segments contribute minimally, with sightseeing vehicle services making up 11.6% and management services dropping to 2.9% in the first half of 2025 [2]. Regional Concentration - All operational activities are confined to Yangzhou, with most revenue generated from the Shugang-Shouxihu Scenic Area and the Ancient Canal region, leading to a limited growth ceiling [3]. - The company holds a 1.0% market share nationally and 16% in Jiangsu, ranking second but significantly trailing the leader with a 34.2% share [3]. Operating License Risk - The exclusive operating license for water tourism in the Shugang-Shouxihu Scenic Area will expire in 2035, raising concerns about renewal and potential changes in operating conditions [4][5]. - If renewal costs increase or a revenue-sharing model is introduced, the company's net profit margin could face significant declines [5]. Seasonal Fluctuations - The company's performance is significantly affected by seasonal tourism trends, with peak seasons contributing 40% to 48.9% of annual revenue, while off-peak seasons account for less than 20% [6]. - In the first half of 2025, revenue from March to May represented 67.9% of total income, indicating a strong reliance on seasonal traffic [6]. Dependence on Third-Party Channels - Revenue from third-party sales channels has increased from 12.8% in 2023 to 33.2% in the first half of 2025, leading to higher commission costs and potential loss of pricing power [7]. - Major platforms include Meituan, Ctrip, Douyin, and Tongcheng, which could impact financial performance if promotional efforts falter or customer experiences decline [7]. Fundraising and Future Plans - The company aims to raise approximately HKD 200 million through the IPO to develop new tour routes, immersive projects, and asset upgrades, although this amount is considered limited for national market expansion [7]. - Post-IPO, the company plans to pursue mergers and acquisitions to overcome regional limitations and integrate fragmented operators in Jiangsu, targeting the broader Yangtze River Delta water tourism market [7].