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日本政治形势加剧经济不确定性
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-24 21:58
Core Viewpoint - The recent Japanese Senate election resulted in a significant loss for the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito, leading to a "twisted parliament" situation where the coalition lacks majority control in both houses, raising uncertainties for Japan's economic outlook [1][4]. Group 1: Election Results and Political Implications - The LDP and Komeito coalition failed to secure a majority, winning only 47 out of 125 contested seats, which is below the required 50 seats [1]. - The loss is attributed to three main factors: failure to address economic issues, ongoing "political money" scandals, and rising social tensions leading voters to support emerging parties [2][4]. - The current political landscape indicates a potential shift, with the LDP facing internal pressure to replace Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, who has not stabilized the coalition's power [3]. Group 2: Economic Outlook and Policy Challenges - The coalition's loss of majority control complicates the passage of budget and policy measures, as they must now negotiate with opposition parties, which are currently unwilling to collaborate [4]. - The recent U.S.-Japan trade negotiations resulted in a reduction of tariffs from 25% to 15%, with Japan committing to invest $550 billion in the U.S. However, this outcome may alienate agricultural voters and provoke opposition from rival parties [5]. - The rise of nationalist sentiments and anti-foreign rhetoric in the election reflects a societal shift that could hinder Japan's economic growth, particularly in light of its reliance on foreign labor and tourism [6].