短期聚焦美国缺电，继续推荐低位液冷 20251216 摘要 数据中心装机规模预期增长推动用电需求，天然气发电因部署快、综合 性能优成为短期有效解决方案，燃气轮机承担美国 10%-40%电力需求， 部分地区甚至超过 50%。 储能系统配合风光伏发电可提高供电稳定性，但短期内难以完全替代传 统主力电源，需审慎评估风光伏竞争力，中长期（3-5 年）随技术进步 有望成主流。 美国 AI 训练产业前景广阔，液冷技术占据重要地位，预计 2026 年 G300 系列芯片投放量达百万个，VR200 系列达 200-300 万个，市场 规模预计突破百亿美元。 英伟达芯片单颗 SP 价值量：GB300 约 1,659 美元，VR200 约 2,350 美元。液冷市场随芯片出货量增长快速扩张，预计从 2022 年的 15 亿 美元增长至 2026 年的 107 亿美元。 美国基础设施建设板块受益于 AI 训练研讨会、数据中心装机预期上调等 因素，天然气发电、储能系统、智能计算中心等新兴领域发展推动板块 增长。 Q&A 美国当前电力短缺的主要原因是什么？未来可能的解决方案有哪些？ 美国当前电力短缺的问题主要体现在两个方面：电量和功率 ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - The main reasons for the decline in Q4 profits include a 2% decrease in gross margin due to a shift in revenue structure, with increased contributions from lower-margin new energy business and a decline in high-margin real estate revenue [1] - Increased management expenses due to more fixed asset projects in the Haiyan Park, leading to higher depreciation costs [1] - Increased marketing and R&D expenses as the company invests in new product development and customer engagement [1] Group 2: Market Trends and Strategies - The company believes that R&D investment is crucial for long-term development, despite short-term profit impacts, aiming to enhance product competitiveness and customer satisfaction [1] - The company is focusing on sectors such as new energy, digital energy, smart buildings, and infrastructure for future growth, with expectations of pressure on building business due to market conditions [2] - The largest segment within the new energy business unit is photovoltaic, followed by energy storage and wind energy, with expectations of improved overall gross margin as high-margin segments grow [2] Group 3: Competitive Positioning - The company aims to replace foreign brands in the data center sector by leveraging its product reliability and stability, while also enhancing its offerings in the renewable energy sector [2] - The company is preparing to increase investments in the development of direct current circuit breakers, particularly for energy storage applications [2] Group 4: Supply Chain and Cost Management - Rising prices of raw materials are expected to impact gross margins, with the company planning to manage costs through early procurement and potential cost pass-through to downstream customers [3] Group 5: International Strategy - The company is restructuring its overseas business strategy, focusing on Southeast Asia, South Korea, Europe, and North America, with plans for differentiated market expansion based on local conditions [2] - The company is pursuing UL certification for high-demand products to enter the North American market and enhance its export business [2]