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时报观察丨政策红利收实效 创投市场添暖意
证券时报· 2025-07-05 00:02
Core Viewpoint - The venture capital market is showing signs of recovery, supported by objective data rather than subjective feelings, as key metrics from the first half of the year indicate a positive trend [1][2]. Group 1: Market Recovery Indicators - The scale of institutional LP (limited partner) investments surged by 50% year-on-year, while the decline in financing scale has significantly narrowed, and the number of IPO exit projects increased by over 20% [2]. - Multiple core indicators have rebounded collectively, marking the venture capital market's transition into a recovery cycle [2]. - A series of policy measures, including the new "National Nine Articles" and "Seventeen Articles on Venture Capital," are aimed at enhancing the support for technological innovation and facilitating the entire fundraising, investment, management, and exit chain [2]. Group 2: Investment and Funding Dynamics - Investment activity has notably increased, with AI and humanoid robotics companies like DeepSeek and Yushutech emerging as new hotspots for hard technology investments, leading to intensified competition for quality projects [2]. - Long-term capital is entering the market, exemplified by the National Big Fund's investment of nearly 200 billion yuan to establish three equity funds, alongside accelerated fundraising processes for state-owned and specialized funds [2]. - The exit landscape is structurally improving, with heightened activity in the Hong Kong IPO market and an increase in the quality and quantity of merger and acquisition cases [2]. Group 3: Challenges and Future Outlook - The core logic behind the recovery in fundraising and investment is the restoration of secondary market valuations and improved exit expectations [3]. - There is a growing consensus on the need for diversified exit mechanisms, with venture capital institutions focusing on enhancing DPI (Distributions to Paid-In) as a primary goal [3]. - However, the overall market recovery still faces challenges, such as the need to further activate market-based funding sentiment and expand the scale of long-term capital entering the market [3].