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President Trump Is Considering Rescheduling Cannabis. Is Now the Time to Load Up on Pot Stocks?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-20 09:45
Core Insights - The potential rescheduling of cannabis from a Schedule I to a lower classification could lead to significant tax savings for marijuana producers [1][7] - Recent optimism in the cannabis industry is driven by renewed hopes for regulatory changes, particularly under President Trump's administration [2][5] - Rescheduling cannabis does not equate to legalization or decriminalization, and while it may facilitate research, it does not guarantee imminent legal changes [4][6] Industry Overview - Cannabis is currently classified as a Schedule I substance, which includes drugs with no accepted medical use and a high potential for abuse [4] - President Trump is considering rescheduling cannabis to Schedule III, which would align it with substances like testosterone and ketamine [5] - The process of rescheduling can be lengthy, as seen with previous attempts under former President Biden [5] Company Impact - The most immediate benefit of rescheduling could be a reduction in tax liabilities for cannabis companies, particularly through the elimination of section 280E, which restricts tax deductions for cannabis businesses [7][8] - Curaleaf Holdings estimates potential annual savings of approximately $150 million if rescheduling occurs, highlighting the financial impact on multi-state operators [9] - Despite being a leading cannabis operator, Curaleaf reported a revenue decline of 8% year-over-year, with a net loss of $114 million in the first half of the year [10] Stock Performance - Curaleaf's shares increased to over $3, marking the highest level since the previous year, driven by positive news regarding potential rescheduling [11] - Other cannabis stocks, such as Tilray Brands, also experienced significant gains, with Tilray's stock rising by over 58% in a short period [12] - However, rescheduling will not allow companies like Tilray to transport products into the U.S., indicating that excitement around legalization may be premature [13]