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精智达20250918
2025-09-18 14:41
Summary of the Conference Call for 精智达 Company Overview - **Company**: 精智达 - **Industry**: Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturing Key Points and Arguments Business Performance and Market Position - Announced a 320 million CNY order, including the first domestic FT high-speed machine, marking a breakthrough in the domestic DM manufacturer sector. Expected to capture 50% market share in the storage testing machine market over the next three years, generating over 3 billion CNY in revenue and approximately 770 million CNY in net profit [2][4] - In the探真卡 (Probe Card) business, expected revenue of about 150 million CNY in 2025. The supply disruption from FormFactor may elevate the company to a primary supplier status, corresponding to a market space of 1.5 billion CNY [2][5] - Panel testing business contributes a stable annual revenue of 600-700 million CNY and about 150 million CNY in profit [2][5] - AR glasses testing equipment is the global sole supplier for Meta AR glasses, with each 2 million units corresponding to about 100 million CNY in equipment value, contributing 40 million CNY in profit [2][6] Future Growth and Valuation - Total profit from the four main business segments is approximately 1.06 billion CNY. Based on a 20x PE ratio, the company's market value could exceed 20 billion CNY; at a 25x PE ratio, it could reach over 25 billion CNY, with a potential optimistic scenario exceeding 30 billion CNY [2][7] - Plans to launch SOC and GPU testing equipment in 2026, with expectations to connect with multiple GPU and ADAS chip clients, potentially adding at least 5 billion CNY in market value [2][7] Investment Opportunity - Currently in a primary upward phase, presenting a significant investment opportunity. The issuance of HBM equipment tender orders from leading DRAM manufacturers will validate the company's logic, and new product launches will further contribute to incremental market value [3][8] Additional Important Information - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing growth in the semiconductor equipment sector, particularly in storage and testing solutions, which are critical for the evolving technology landscape [4][8]