7月24日，据报道，韩国考虑以对美投资承诺换取汽车关税下调。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the conflicting goals of U.S. President Donald Trump regarding low oil prices and large investment commitments from Saudi Arabia, highlighting the challenges of maintaining such investments without increasing oil prices, which could upset Trump [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Commitments - The U.S. government promotes Saudi Arabia's investment commitments, claiming a total of $600 billion to $1 trillion, which could strain Saudi public finances unless oil revenues increase [1][2]. - Economists express skepticism about the $600 billion figure, suggesting it may not significantly alter economic expectations due to its ambitious nature [4][5]. - The "Vision 2030" initiative aims for economic diversification with a potential cost of $1.5 trillion, complicating the fulfillment of these investment commitments [2][5]. Group 2: Oil Prices and Economic Viability - To achieve fiscal balance, Saudi Arabia needs oil prices to be at least $96 to $100 per barrel, while current prices are around $65 per barrel [2][5]. - The article notes that oil currently accounts for approximately 60% of Saudi Arabia's fiscal revenue, indicating a heavy reliance on oil income [1]. - Analysts predict that Saudi Arabia's deficit could double to $70 billion by the end of the year due to falling oil prices and ambitious domestic projects [5]. Group 3: Political Implications - Trump's administration has pressured OPEC to lower oil prices, which has led to increased production and a subsequent drop in prices, seen as a political victory for Trump [2][3]. - The article highlights the tendency of politicians to exaggerate investment commitments, with past promises often failing to materialize [6].