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中国国庆中秋假期全社会跨区域人员流动量将达23.6亿人次
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-28 08:47
Core Insights - The upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday in China is expected to see a total of 2.36 billion cross-regional trips, averaging about 295 million trips per day, which represents a 3.2% increase compared to the same period last year [1] Group 1: Travel Demand - The travel demand during the holiday period is anticipated to be very strong, with the first peak of travel expected on October 1, potentially exceeding 340 million trips in a single day, marking a historical peak [1] - Self-driving is projected to be the primary mode of travel, with an estimated 1.87 billion self-driving trips, accounting for approximately 80% of total travel [1] Group 2: Traffic Projections - During peak periods, highway traffic is expected to surpass an average of 70 million vehicles per day, with around 14 million of those being new energy vehicles [1] - Key urban agglomerations such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, the Yangtze River Delta, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area, and Chengdu-Chongqing are expected to experience significantly higher traffic volumes on highways and popular scenic routes compared to normal times [1] Group 3: Toll Policy - The policy for exempting small passenger vehicles from tolls will be in effect from October 1 at 00:00 to October 8 at 24:00, allowing vehicles to exit toll roads without charges during this period [1]
中秋国庆假期8天免收通行费,自驾出行或达18.7亿人次
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Mid-Autumn and National Day holiday from October 1 to October 8 is expected to see a significant increase in travel demand, with an estimated 2.36 billion trips, reflecting a 3.2% increase compared to the previous year [1][2]. Group 1: Travel Demand and Patterns - The total cross-regional passenger flow during the holiday is projected to reach 2.36 billion trips, averaging about 295 million trips per day [1]. - Self-driving is anticipated to be the primary mode of travel, with an estimated 1.87 billion self-driving trips, accounting for around 80% of total travel [1]. - Peak travel days are expected on October 1, with daily passenger flow potentially exceeding 340 million, and again on October 7 and 8 [2]. Group 2: Travel Characteristics - There will be a notable increase in medium to long-distance travel, particularly in key urban areas such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area [2]. - Domestic tourism is expected to surge in popular cities like Shanghai, Chengdu, Beijing, and Guangzhou, while outbound tourism to countries like Japan and South Korea is also projected to rise significantly [2]. Group 3: Freight Transport - Freight transport is expected to remain stable during the holiday, with an average daily truck flow of 5.5 to 5.8 million, which is consistent with last year's figures but about 30% lower than regular days [2]. - Demand for essential goods such as energy, food, and minerals is expected to remain steady, with minimal fluctuations in railway, port, and air cargo transport [2]. Group 4: Toll Policy - Small passenger vehicles will be exempt from toll fees from October 1 to October 8, with specific guidelines on how the exemption applies based on the time of exit from toll roads [3].