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工商业储能:如何跨越“政策断奶期”?
行家说储能· 2025-12-16 09:21
Core Viewpoint - The new energy storage industry is at a critical juncture, needing to adapt to market reforms and digitalization opportunities, as traditional profit models face challenges due to changing electricity pricing policies [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Trends and Challenges - Since 2022, commercial energy storage has maintained rapid growth, heavily relying on peak-valley price differences for profitability [3]. - Recent adjustments in time-of-use electricity pricing have led to a tightening trend, with significant reductions in price differentials in regions like Jiangsu (down about 25%) and Zhejiang (over 30% decline in investment returns) [3][5]. - The traditional profit model of peak-valley arbitrage is under pressure, necessitating a rethinking of value creation strategies in the face of diminishing price differentials [3][5]. Group 2: New Profit Models and Strategies - The shift in profit logic for commercial energy storage involves both user-side value reconstruction and reliance on technological innovation [3][5]. - The integration of digital technologies is crucial for enhancing the regulatory efficiency of energy storage systems, ensuring safe and economical operations [3][5]. - The collaboration of energy storage with demand-side management can enhance project economics by reducing peak demand charges through real-time load monitoring and discharge strategies [6]. Group 3: Value Aggregation and Virtual Power Plants - The core value of energy storage is transitioning from simple "electricity cost arbitrage" to the systematic release of "flexibility regulation capabilities" [11]. - Aggregating dispersed commercial energy storage resources into virtual power plants opens new revenue streams through demand response, ancillary services, and electricity spot trading [11][14]. - The use of AI technology in trading decision systems can automate market predictions and optimize trading strategies, enhancing the profitability of energy storage systems [17][18]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Transformation - The energy storage industry is moving from a phase of rapid growth to a more mature and regulated stage, with a focus on creating value rather than relying on policy incentives [24][25]. - Companies must enhance their digital collaboration, scene adaptability, and operational precision to navigate industry cycles and seize opportunities in value reconstruction [25].