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美伊谈判暂歇,下一步走向何方?丨夜观天下
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 12:32
Group 1 - The core of the recent US-Iran negotiations is marked by fundamental opposing demands, with the US insisting on restrictions on Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities, while Iran maintains its right to uranium enrichment and refuses to negotiate its missile program [1][3] - The indirect negotiations, described as "back-to-back," indicate a willingness to engage but highlight significant divisions between the two parties [1][3] - Israel perceives Iran's missile program as an existential threat and has threatened unilateral action if Iran crosses its established "red lines" [3][5] Group 2 - The negotiations have evolved into a multi-party dynamic, with Iran seeking to solidify Oman’s role as a mediator while applying pressure on the US through its diplomatic channels [5][7] - The upcoming negotiations are viewed with skepticism, as Iran's core demands regarding nuclear rights and missile capabilities are unlikely to be compromised, potentially leading to a breakdown in talks [7][9] - Two possible outcomes are anticipated: either a temporary compromise where Iran freezes its uranium enrichment in exchange for sanctions relief, or unilateral military action by Israel that could escalate regional tensions [9]