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Why Is Moody's (MCO) Down 0.7% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 16:36
Core Viewpoint - Moody's reported a strong Q2 2025 earnings performance, beating estimates, but faces challenges with rising operating expenses and mixed segment performance [2][4][5]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings for Q2 2025 were $3.56 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.44, marking an 8.5% increase year-over-year [2]. - Revenues reached $1.90 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.85 billion, and grew 4.5% year-over-year [4]. - Total expenses increased to $1.08 billion, up 3.6% year-over-year, impacting overall profitability [4]. Segment Analysis - The MIS segment saw a slight revenue decline to $1.06 billion due to weaknesses in Corporate Finance and Financial Institutions, partially offset by gains in Structured Finance [5]. - The MA segment experienced a revenue increase of 10.5% to $891 million, driven by strong demand for Moody's proprietary data and analytics [5]. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of June 30, 2025, Moody's had $2.29 billion in cash and short-term investments, down from $2.97 billion at the end of 2024 [6]. - The company reported $7 billion in outstanding debt and $1.25 billion in additional borrowing capacity [6]. - Projected cash flow from operations is expected to be between $2.65 billion and $2.85 billion, with free cash flow anticipated in the range of $2.30 billion to $2.50 billion [10]. Shareholder Returns - In the reported quarter, Moody's repurchased 0.6 million shares at an average price of $460.76 [7]. Guidance and Outlook - Moody's adjusted earnings guidance for 2025 is now set between $13.50 and $14.00 per share, up from the previous range of $13.25 to $14.00 [8]. - Revenue growth is projected in the mid-single-digit percent range, while operating expenses are expected to rise in the low-to-mid-single-digit percent range [9]. - The company anticipates a decline in the MIS segment's revenue growth outlook, now expected to be in the low to mid-single-digit range [11]. Strategic Initiatives - Moody's has initiated a Strategic and Operational Efficiency Restructuring Program aimed at generating annual savings of $250–$300 million, with substantial completion expected by the end of 2026 [14].