支付行业展望2026
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小摩2026支付行业展望:看淡费哲金融服务(FISV.US)和PayPal(PYPL.US) 押注Toast(TOST.US)增长潜力
智通财经网· 2025-12-05 02:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that JPMorgan has downgraded the ratings of FISV and PYPL from "Overweight" to "Neutral," suggesting that it is too late to sell and too early to buy [1] - JPMorgan's report highlights that the payment sector is experiencing its worst performance in 15 years, excluding the COVID-19 pandemic, due to slowing market growth and concerns over commoditization [1] - The year 2026 is seen as critical for both FISV and PYPL, requiring them to demonstrate execution capabilities and invest in new initiatives and technologies, leading to both potential upsides and risks of underperformance [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan upgraded the rating of TOST from "Neutral" to "Overweight," focusing on companies with pricing power, strong margins, and order growth as it looks ahead to 2026 [1] - Despite a 6% decline in TOST's stock price since 2025, earnings expectations have been raised by 27%, and the composite metric of "growth + profitability" for 2026 has been established [1] - If credit card interchange fee regulations are implemented, TOST may have additional upside potential, which contributed to the rating upgrade [1]