Core Viewpoint - The listing plans of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are generating significant attention and confusion on Wall Street, with uncertainties surrounding the implementation and potential impacts of these plans following their government takeover after the 2008 financial crisis [1] Group 1: Government Conservatorship Complexity - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were placed under government conservatorship during the 2008 financial crisis, receiving approximately $187.5 billion in support to prevent a housing market collapse [3] - The current financial status of both institutions has improved significantly, with ample cash flow and good operating conditions [3] - New guidelines from the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Housing Finance Agency have granted the Treasury final approval authority for ending the conservatorship, aiming to ensure an orderly transition away from government control [3] - The process of ending conservatorship involves complex legal procedures, capital restructuring plans, and regulatory framework adjustments, each of which could impact the timeline for implementation [3] Group 2: Market Reaction and Risk Assessment - The stock prices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have experienced significant volatility, with increases of 570% and 470% respectively since 2025, reflecting strong market reactions to privatization expectations [3] - Following the election of Trump, the stock prices surged by 143% and 116% within a month, indicating concentrated investment risks [3] - Moody's recently downgraded the long-term senior unsecured debt ratings of both institutions from the highest level to the second highest, with a stable outlook, reflecting a relative weakening of government support capabilities [4] - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac account for approximately 50% of the U.S. residential real estate market, with this proportion exceeding 80% since the subprime crisis, holding and guaranteeing assets totaling about $5.5 trillion [4] - Any structural changes in these institutions could impact mortgage rates and, consequently, the stability of the entire real estate market [4]