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旧金山联储工作报告:关税上调将刺激美国制造业就业扩张,但这是以服务业和农业就业下降为代价的,由于实际工资下降导致劳动力参与率下降,整体就业率下降。就美国整体而言,到2028年,实际收入将下降约1%。
news flash· 2025-05-13 09:49
Core Insights - The report indicates that tariff increases will stimulate job expansion in the U.S. manufacturing sector, but this comes at the expense of job losses in the service and agricultural sectors [1] - Due to a decline in real wages, the labor force participation rate is expected to decrease, leading to an overall decline in employment rates [1] - By 2028, it is projected that real income in the U.S. will decrease by approximately 1% [1]