Core Insights - The non-farm payroll employment is projected to increase by 65,000, with a range of predictions from a decrease of 10,000 to an increase of 135,000 among 80 economists surveyed [1][5]. Group 1: Employment Data - The labor force participation rate is at 62.5%, up from 62.4% the previous month [2][6]. - Average hourly wages increased by 0.4% compared to the previous month, exceeding the forecast of a 0.3% increase; the prior month saw a 0.1% increase [2][7]. - Private sector non-farm employment rose by 172,000, compared to an increase of 64,000 the previous month; the forecast was for an increase of 68,000, with predictions ranging from 25,000 to 140,000 [2][7]. - Manufacturing non-farm employment increased by 5,000, reversing a decrease of 8,000 the previous month; the forecast was for a decrease of 7,000, with predictions ranging from a decrease of 10,000 to an increase of 5,000 [2][7]. Group 2: Unemployment Metrics - The unemployment rate is at 4.3%, down from 4.4% the previous month; the forecast was for 4.4%, with predictions ranging from 4.3% to 4.5% [3][7]. - The underemployment rate is at 8%, down from 8.4% the previous month [4][7].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. labor market showed modest growth in January, with non-farm employment increasing by 130,000 jobs and the unemployment rate remaining stable at 4.3% [1][13]. Group 1: Employment Data - In January, the unemployment rate was 4.3%, with 7.4 million unemployed individuals, both figures higher than a year ago when the unemployment rate was 4.0% and the number of unemployed was 6.9 million [2][14]. - The youth unemployment rate decreased to 13.6%, while adult male and female unemployment rates remained stable at 3.8% and 4.0%, respectively [2][14]. - The labor force participation rate was 62.5%, and the employment-population ratio was 59.8%, both showing little change [2][14]. - The number of long-term unemployed (27 weeks or more) was stable at 1.8 million, but this was an increase of 386,000 from the previous year [2][14]. Group 2: Sector-Specific Employment Changes - The healthcare sector added 82,000 jobs in January, with outpatient care services contributing 50,000 jobs, hospitals adding 18,000, and nursing and residential care facilities increasing by 13,000 [4][16]. - The social assistance sector saw an increase of 42,000 jobs, primarily in personal and family services, which added 38,000 jobs [5][17]. - The construction sector added 33,000 jobs, mainly in non-residential specialty trade contractors, which increased by 25,000 jobs [5][17]. - Federal government employment decreased by 34,000 jobs, attributed to employees leaving under a delayed retirement program, with a total decline of 327,000 jobs since October 2024 [5][17]. - The financial activities sector lost 22,000 jobs, with a total decline of 49,000 jobs since May 2025 [5][17]. Group 3: Wage and Hour Data - Average hourly earnings for all private non-farm employees rose by $0.15 (0.4%) to $37.17, with a year-over-year increase of 3.7% [6][18]. - Average weekly hours for private non-farm employees increased by 0.1 hours to 34.3 hours [6][18]. - The average hourly wage for production and non-supervisory employees rose by $0.12 (0.4%) to $31.95 [6][18]. Group 4: Data Revisions and Adjustments - The non-farm employment total for March 2025 was revised down by 898,000, reflecting a 0.5% decrease in non-seasonally adjusted figures [7][19]. - The change in non-farm employment for 2025 was revised from an increase of 584,000 to 181,000 [8][20]. - The severe winter storm in January 2025 did not have a discernible impact on employment data, although it affected the response rate for household surveys [10][22].

Core Insights - The labor force participation rate in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina for Q3 2025 is reported at 51.2%, with an employment rate of 44.7% and an unemployment rate of 12.8% [1][2] Summary by Categories Labor Force Statistics - The total working-age population in the Federation is 1.847 million, with 946,000 being economically active, representing 51.2% of the total population [1] - The number of employed individuals stands at 825,000, accounting for 44.7% of the working-age population, while the unemployed population is 121,000, which is 6.5% of the total [1] Quarterly Changes - On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the number of employed individuals increased by 5.7%, and the number of unemployed decreased by 8.8% [2] - The total economically active population rose by 3.6%, with the employment rate increasing by 2.4% and the unemployment rate decreasing by 1.7% [2] Yearly Changes - Year-over-year, the number of employed individuals increased by 3.3%, and the number of unemployed decreased by 6.2% [2] - The total economically active population grew by 2.0%, with the employment rate rising by 1.4% and the unemployment rate falling by 1.1% [2] Gender Structure - Among the economically active population, there are 570,000 males (60.2%) and 376,000 females (39.8%) [2] - In terms of employment, males account for 513,000 (62.2%) while females represent 312,000 (37.8%) [2] - The unemployed population consists of 56,000 males (46.5%) and 65,000 females (53.5%) [2]

Group 1 - The U.S. added 64,000 jobs in November, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.6%, the highest since July 2021 [1][8] - The healthcare sector led job growth with 46,000 new hires, followed by construction with 28,000 and social assistance with 18,000 [3] - Hourly wages increased by only 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.3%, indicating that labor is not currently driving inflation [4] Group 2 - Labor force participation rose to 62.5%, the highest since April, influenced by a significant increase in part-time workers [5] - Federal government employment has decreased by 271,000 year-to-date, largely due to planned layoffs and a deferred resignation program [6] - The trailing four-month average job growth is 16,000, significantly lower than previous averages, indicating a slowdown in job creation [7] Group 3 - The market reacted negatively to the jobs report initially, with pre-market futures sliding before recovering slightly [10] - The likelihood of an interest rate cut in January remains below 25%, with March being uncertain [11] - The upcoming retail sales report and other economic indicators will be analyzed further, including earnings from homebuilder Lennar [12]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000 in November, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly rising to 4.6%, the highest in four years, and revisions to August and September data showing a combined decrease of 33,000 jobs [1][9]. Group 1: Employment Data - The non-farm employment numbers showed minimal change, with an increase of only 64,000 since April, indicating almost no net growth [5][14]. - The unemployment rate for November was 4.6%, consistent with September, but higher than 4.2% in November of the previous year, with 7.8 million unemployed individuals [3][12]. - The labor force participation rate was 62.5%, and the employment-population ratio was 59.6%, both showing little change from September [3][12]. Group 2: Sector-Specific Employment Changes - Healthcare and construction sectors saw job increases, with healthcare adding 46,000 jobs and construction adding 28,000 jobs in November [5][14]. - The federal government sector experienced a decline, losing 6,000 jobs in November, following a significant drop of 162,000 jobs in October [6][14]. - The social assistance sector continued to rise, adding 18,000 jobs, primarily in personal and family services [6][14]. Group 3: Wage and Hourly Data - The average hourly wage for all private non-farm employees rose by 5 cents (0.1%) to $36.86, with a year-over-year increase of 3.5% [7][16]. - Average weekly hours for private non-farm employees increased slightly by 0.1 hours to 34.3 hours [7][16]. - The average hourly wage for production and non-supervisory employees increased by 11 cents (0.3%) to $31.76 [7][16]. Group 4: Impact of Government Shutdown - The release of employment data was delayed due to a federal funding interruption from October 1 to November 12, affecting data collection and processing [2][11]. - The government shutdown resulted in the absence of the October employment report, impacting the overall analysis of labor market conditions [2][11].

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25%-4.5%, marking the fifth consecutive pause in rate hikes since March 2023 [1] - The FOMC members unanimously acknowledged a slowdown in economic activity growth in the first half of the year, despite fluctuations in net exports affecting data [1] - The decision to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged was supported by a 9-2 vote, with two members advocating for a 25 basis point cut to prevent further weakening of the labor market [1] Group 2 - Recent labor market data showed that July's non-farm payroll additions were significantly below expectations, with an increase in the unemployment rate and a drop in labor force participation to its lowest level since the end of 2022 [1] - Historical revisions to employment data for May and June erased over 250,000 job additions, undermining the perception of a strong labor market [1] - The mixed inflation data in July has caused discomfort within the Federal Reserve, with ongoing tariff effects expected to continue pushing inflation higher in the coming months [2]

Core Insights - Estonia's unemployment rate in Q2 2025 is 7.8%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points compared to the same period last year, but a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from Q1 2025 [1] - The unemployment rate for males is 8.4%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the female unemployment rate is 7.2%, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Youth unemployment (ages 15 to 24) stands at 25.4%, which is 2.8 percentage points higher than the same period last year and 6.6 percentage points higher than Q1 2025 [1] Employment Metrics - Estonia's employment rate in Q2 2025 is 68.9%, a decline of 0.8 percentage points compared to the same period last year, but an increase of 1.5 percentage points from Q1 2025 [1] - The labor force participation rate is reported at 74.8% [1]

Group 1 - The total non-farm employment in July showed little change, increasing by 73,000, remaining stable since April [2][8] - The unemployment rate in July was 4.2%, with 7.2 million unemployed individuals, showing minimal change from the previous month [3][4] - The healthcare and social assistance sectors continued to see job growth, while federal government employment continued to decline [8][9][10] Group 2 - The number of long-term unemployed individuals (those unemployed for 27 weeks or more) increased by 179,000 to 1.8 million, accounting for 24.9% of the total unemployed population [5] - The labor force participation rate in July was 62.2%, unchanged from the previous month but down 0.5 percentage points year-over-year [6] - The average hourly wage for all private non-farm employees increased by $0.12, or 0.3%, reaching $36.44, with a year-over-year increase of 3.9% [11]

Group 1 - The labor force participation rate in the U.S. for July is reported at 62.2%, slightly below the expected rate of 62.3% and unchanged from the previous value of 62.3% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, expresses confusion over the low labor participation rate in the UK compared to other countries [1] Group 2 - The article highlights that the UK labor participation rate remains a significant concern for economic recovery and growth [1] - It suggests that understanding the reasons behind this low participation is crucial for formulating effective economic policies [1] - The statement reflects ongoing challenges in the UK labor market, which may impact future economic forecasts and investment strategies [1]