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中国交建(601800):Q3新签订单增长提速
HTSC· 2025-10-31 08:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of the company [7][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 513.915 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 4.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.647 billion RMB, down 16.14% year-over-year [1]. - New contract signing accelerated in Q3 2025, with a year-over-year increase of 9.18% in new contracts signed, totaling 348.9 billion RMB [4]. - The company’s operating cash flow improved year-over-year, with Q3 2025 showing a net cash inflow of 11.5 billion RMB, an increase of 14.4 billion RMB compared to the previous year [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 176.861 billion RMB, a decrease of 1.30% year-over-year and 3.04% quarter-over-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.079 billion RMB, down 16.34% year-over-year [1][2]. - The comprehensive gross profit margin for the first nine months of 2025 was 11.04%, a decrease of 0.50 percentage points year-over-year, while Q3 2025 saw a gross profit margin of 11.80%, an increase of 0.50 percentage points year-over-year [2]. Cash Flow and Debt - The company’s operating cash flow for the first nine months of 2025 was -65.8 billion RMB, which is 11.2 billion RMB less than the previous year. The cash collection ratio was 110.5%, down 22.9 percentage points year-over-year [3]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company’s asset-liability ratio was 76.2%, an increase of 1.01 percentage points year-over-year [3]. Order Book and Business Growth - The total new contracts signed in the first nine months of 2025 reached 1.34 trillion RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.65%. The new contracts in the infrastructure sector totaled 1.22 trillion RMB, up 6.35% year-over-year [4]. - Emerging business sectors, including energy conservation, new energy, new materials, and next-generation information technology, saw new contracts amounting to 466.4 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 9.38% [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is set at 20.668 billion RMB, 19.929 billion RMB, and 20.017 billion RMB respectively. The target price for A/H shares is adjusted to 11.02 RMB and 6.71 HKD [5][10].