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“特普会”倒计时,美俄还在酝酿更大的核博弈
第一财经· 2025-08-11 01:07
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between the US and Russia, particularly focusing on nuclear threats and military posturing amidst ongoing geopolitical conflicts, especially regarding Ukraine [2][10][23]. Group 1: US-Russia Relations - A meeting between US President Trump and Russian President Putin is scheduled for August 15 to discuss the Ukraine crisis, marking their first face-to-face meeting since 2019 [2]. - Trump expressed disappointment in Putin and indicated a potential shortening of the deadline for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, which is currently set at 50 days [3][21]. - The US has issued a "last ultimatum" for a ceasefire agreement by August 8, which has been met with strong rhetoric from Russian officials [3][15]. Group 2: Nuclear Threats - The article highlights the current nuclear standoff as one of the most significant since the Cuban Missile Crisis, with both nations engaging in aggressive military signaling [10][22]. - The US has deployed nuclear submarines to "appropriate areas," likely near Russian waters, as part of its military strategy [7][11]. - Russia has announced it will no longer adhere to the self-imposed restrictions of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, indicating a shift in its nuclear strategy [15][19]. Group 3: Military Capabilities - The US Navy operates 71 nuclear submarines, including 14 Ohio-class submarines capable of carrying 24 Trident II missiles each, with a range exceeding 12,000 kilometers [12]. - Russia maintains approximately 30 nuclear submarines, with 10 being strategic submarines equipped with Bulava intercontinental ballistic missiles [13][14]. - Both nations are enhancing their nuclear capabilities, with the US planning to deploy new missile systems in allied countries, while Russia is modernizing its naval forces [20][21]. Group 4: Future Implications - The article suggests that the expiration of the New START treaty in February 2024 could lead to a new arms race between the US and Russia, as both countries currently hold about 87% of the world's nuclear arsenal [23]. - Analysts warn that the increasing military expenditures and NATO's expansion could heighten nuclear risks globally [23][24].