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“特普会”倒计时,美俄还在酝酿更大的核博弈
第一财经· 2025-08-11 01:07
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between the US and Russia, particularly focusing on nuclear threats and military posturing amidst ongoing geopolitical conflicts, especially regarding Ukraine [2][10][23]. Group 1: US-Russia Relations - A meeting between US President Trump and Russian President Putin is scheduled for August 15 to discuss the Ukraine crisis, marking their first face-to-face meeting since 2019 [2]. - Trump expressed disappointment in Putin and indicated a potential shortening of the deadline for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, which is currently set at 50 days [3][21]. - The US has issued a "last ultimatum" for a ceasefire agreement by August 8, which has been met with strong rhetoric from Russian officials [3][15]. Group 2: Nuclear Threats - The article highlights the current nuclear standoff as one of the most significant since the Cuban Missile Crisis, with both nations engaging in aggressive military signaling [10][22]. - The US has deployed nuclear submarines to "appropriate areas," likely near Russian waters, as part of its military strategy [7][11]. - Russia has announced it will no longer adhere to the self-imposed restrictions of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, indicating a shift in its nuclear strategy [15][19]. Group 3: Military Capabilities - The US Navy operates 71 nuclear submarines, including 14 Ohio-class submarines capable of carrying 24 Trident II missiles each, with a range exceeding 12,000 kilometers [12]. - Russia maintains approximately 30 nuclear submarines, with 10 being strategic submarines equipped with Bulava intercontinental ballistic missiles [13][14]. - Both nations are enhancing their nuclear capabilities, with the US planning to deploy new missile systems in allied countries, while Russia is modernizing its naval forces [20][21]. Group 4: Future Implications - The article suggests that the expiration of the New START treaty in February 2024 could lead to a new arms race between the US and Russia, as both countries currently hold about 87% of the world's nuclear arsenal [23]. - Analysts warn that the increasing military expenditures and NATO's expansion could heighten nuclear risks globally [23][24].
“特普会”倒计时 美俄还在酝酿更大的核博弈
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-08-10 23:49
Group 1: Meeting and Diplomatic Tensions - The meeting between US President Trump and Russian President Putin is scheduled for August 15 in Alaska to discuss the Ukraine crisis, marking their first face-to-face meeting since 2019 [1] - Trump has expressed disappointment in Putin and indicated that the deadline for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine remains valid, with a potential shortening of the 50-day timeline [3][4] - The ongoing verbal exchanges between the US and Russia have escalated, with both sides making strong statements regarding nuclear capabilities and treaties [2][6] Group 2: Nuclear Threats and Military Posturing - The current tensions between the US and Russia are described as the most explicit nuclear threat since the Cuban Missile Crisis, with both nations engaging in military posturing [8][20] - Trump announced the deployment of two US nuclear submarines to "appropriate areas," likely near Russian waters, emphasizing the seriousness of nuclear threats [7][9] - The US Navy operates 71 nuclear submarines, including 14 Ohio-class submarines, which can carry up to 24 Trident II missiles, each with a yield of 475 kilotons [11] Group 3: Arms Control and Treaty Developments - Russia has announced it will no longer adhere to the self-imposed restrictions of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, which previously limited the deployment of land-based missiles [14][15] - The last remaining nuclear arms treaty between the US and Russia, the New START treaty, is set to expire on February 5, 2024, raising concerns about a new arms race [22] - The US has been expanding its intermediate-range missile capabilities since its withdrawal from the INF Treaty in 2019, with deployments planned in various allied countries [16][17]