Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Huaneng International [3][5] Core Viewpoints - Huaneng International is a leading power generation company in China, benefiting from improved cash flow and dividend expectations due to the capacity price mechanism in thermal power [1][2] - The transition to a two-part pricing system for thermal power is expected to stabilize profitability, with coal prices anticipated to remain stable [2][3] - The company is increasing its investment in renewable energy, aiming for a 45% share of low-carbon clean energy capacity by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][3] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Huaneng International is a large-scale power enterprise engaged in the development, construction, and operation of coal, gas, and renewable energy projects, with a controllable installed capacity of 152.99 million kW as of June 2025 [1][14] - The company’s revenue primarily comes from electricity and heat supply, with coal power contributing significantly to profits [1][17] Profitability and Financial Indicators - The report forecasts net profits for the parent company of 12.52 billion, 13.05 billion, and 13.56 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a growth rate of 23.5%, 4.3%, and 3.9% respectively [3][4] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.80, 0.83, and 0.86 yuan for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9.5, 9.1, and 8.7 [3][4] Investment Recommendations - The stock value is estimated to be between 7.98 and 8.73 yuan, indicating a premium of 6% to 16% over the current stock price of 7.58 yuan [3][5] - The report emphasizes the potential for stable dividends supported by improved cash flow and capital expenditure management [2][68]

装一批光伏板，立几台风机，就可以躺着赚钱的时代过去了。根据《关于深化新能源上网电价市场化改 革促进新能源高质量发展的通知》，从今年6月1日起，新投产的新能源发电项目原则上全部入市交易， 电价由市场说了算。这一变化让习惯了由"政府定价"的新能源企业有点慌——由于未来电价和收益率不 确定性增加，不少企业担心行业会"硬着陆"，新增装机规模大幅下跌，观望情绪浓厚。不过也有人觉得 市场是块"试金石"，竞争力更强的企业会脱颖而出。进入新能源发电市场化时代，我们面对的是大风大 浪，还是星辰大海？ 市场化的核心逻辑很简单——优胜劣汰。成本更低、技术更强的企业会活下来，甚至活得更好。新疆的 光伏发电企业已经尝到甜头。他们利用与北京2小时的时差，把午后富余的绿电送到傍晚用电高峰的首 都。这种"错峰交易"既解决了新疆绿电消纳难题，又让北京用上优质绿电，更让企业赚到了真金白银。 类似的创新正在各地涌现，市场这只看不见的手，正把企业从"拼规模"推向"拼智慧"。 当然，竞争从来都不轻松。电价波动可能挤压利润，技术研发需要持续投入，管理粗放的企业难免被淘 汰。但纵观全球能源转型史，没有哪个产业能靠保护真正走向成熟。若此时仍蜷缩在政策"温室 ...