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华龙证券:1-9月我国刀具出口具备韧性 进口聚焦高端
智通财经网· 2025-11-05 08:45
Core Insights - The report from Hualong Securities highlights the resilience of China's tool exports, with a significant export value of 200.01 billion yuan from January to September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.34% [1][2] - The import value during the same period was 64.19 billion yuan, showing a modest growth of 0.96%, indicating a focus on high-end products [1][2] Export and Import Overview - China's tool export value is 3.12 times that of imports, solidifying its position as a core supplier in the global tool supply chain [2] - Major export products include drill bits (69.29 billion yuan) and circular saw blades (34.61 billion yuan), catering to the basic needs of global infrastructure and manufacturing [2] - Imports are primarily high-end products, with the import value of carbide blades (28.38 billion yuan) and drill bits (8.96 billion yuan) indicating a reliance on core technologies [2] Product Structure Analysis - Export volume has increased while prices have decreased, leading to intensified competition; for instance, drill bit exports grew by 6.22% but the average price fell by 2.03% [3] - The average import price for similar products is significantly higher than export prices, with coated blades averaging 3.2 times the export price, highlighting a gap in material processing and precision manufacturing capabilities [3] - Demand for super-hard tools is rising, benefiting from upgrades in industries like aerospace and precision molds, while traditional products face pressure from international competition [3] Market Distribution - Drill bits are primarily exported to major manufacturing countries such as the US, Germany, and Russia, while blade exports are distributed to countries like Russia, India, and Germany, showing strong market resilience [4] - Imports are heavily concentrated from Japan and Europe, with Japan accounting for 25.7% of coated blade imports and a staggering 74.22% for non-coated blades [4] Investment Targets - Companies to watch include World (688028.SH), Huarui Precision (688059.SH), Oke Yi (688308.SH), and Xinxin Co. (688257.SH) [5]