大家好，二月的交易日结束了！大家收成如何？ 2月27日，市场全天震荡分化，三大指数涨跌互现。截至收盘，沪指涨0.39%，深成指跌0.06%，创业板 指跌1.04%，科创综指微涨。 | ... 内地股票 它 ◎ | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 行情 | 资金净流入 | 涨跌分布 | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 科创综指 | | 4162.88 +16.25 +0.39% -8.69 -0.06% +6.57 +0.36% | 14495.09 | 1849.77 | | 万得全A | 创业板指 | 北证50 | | 6942.40 +28.02 +0.41% -34.68 -1.04% -7.78 -0.50% | 3310.30 | 1537.13 | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | 中证A500 | | 4710.65 -16.23 -0.34% +101.23 +1.18% +3.84 +0.06% | 8658.45 | 5965.35 | | 中证1000 | 深证100 | 中证红利 | | 8560.84 +70.23 +0.83% -63.80 -1.07% +5 ...

热点聚焦 1、隔夜，国际原油期货小幅收跌。黄金期货跌0.45%，报5202.8美元/盎司；白银期货跌2.74%，报89.12 美元/盎司。此前消息称，伊美第三轮间接谈判在日内瓦举行。阿曼与伊朗外长相继释放"取得重大进 展"、"接近共识"的信号，也有匿名美国高级官员称谈判进展"积极"。而据美国官员当地时间26日透 露，美国海军第五舰队驻巴林总部已缩减至"关键任务"人员编制。据称，此举是为应对伊朗可能发动的 袭击。 2、2月26日，在岸人民币兑美元收盘报6.8397，涨275点，创2023年3月23日以来新高。节后三个交易 日，在岸、离岸人民币兑美元升值近600个基点，双双突破6.87、6.85乃至6.83关口，创下2023年4月以 来新高。26日当天，中国人民银行发文，支持境内银行按照依法合规、风险可控的原则开展人民币跨境 同业融资业务。 3、数据显示，9日-15日，中国模型以4.12万亿Token的调用量，首次超过同期美国模型的2.94万亿 Token。16日-22日，中国模型的周调用量进一步冲高至5.16万亿Token，三周大涨127%，而同期美国模 型调用量跌至2.7万亿Token。平台调用量排名前五的模 ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report discusses how AI deflation and balance sheet reduction could reshape asset pricing logic, emphasizing the uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's future policy direction [1][6][7] - It highlights the potential impact of reducing the Fed's balance sheet on dollar asset prices and the importance of maintaining central bank independence [1][6][7] Group 2: Company Analysis - Huahong Semiconductor (688347.SH) - Huahong is projected to achieve revenues of 183.83 billion, 246.57 billion, and 284.07 billion CNY for 2025-2027, with net profits of 6.74 billion, 7.78 billion, and 11.29 billion CNY respectively [2][12] - The company is positioned as a leader in mature process semiconductor manufacturing, benefiting from the global semiconductor industry's recovery [12][13] - Huahong's expansion plans include the ramp-up of FAB9 and the integration of FAB5, which is expected to enhance future growth potential [12][14] Group 3: Company Analysis - Valiant Bio (9887.HK) - Valiant Bio focuses on three core technology platforms targeting oncology and autoimmune diseases, with significant clinical trials underway [3][16] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 175.0 million, 196.0 million, and 200.8 million HKD, with a projected increase in profitability as clinical data catalysts emerge [3][16][17] Group 4: Company Analysis - Ningbo Huaxiang (002048.SZ) - Ningbo Huaxiang is expected to see net profits of 5.19 billion, 16.10 billion, and 17.56 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with a target market value of 402.39 billion CNY by 2026 [4][18] - The company is expanding into the humanoid robot sector and is anticipated to improve profitability following the divestment of European assets [18][19] Group 5: Industry Insights - Hotel and Catering - The report indicates a significant increase in travel and service consumption during the 2026 Spring Festival, with domestic tourism expected to reach 520 million trips, a 3.8% increase year-on-year [25][26] - The catering sector is benefiting from increased customer flow, particularly in first-tier cities, with notable growth in restaurant bookings and sales during the holiday period [26][27] Group 6: Industry Insights - Gas Turbine - The gas turbine industry is experiencing robust demand, with Siemens Energy reporting record order volumes and plans to increase production capacity significantly by 2027 [29][30][31] - Major companies like GE and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries are also reporting substantial order growth, indicating a strong market outlook for gas turbines [30][31][32] Group 7: Industry Insights - Tooling Industry - The report highlights a rapid increase in tungsten carbide prices, benefiting leading domestic tooling companies amid supply constraints and rising demand in high-value sectors [35][36][37] - The Chinese government's export controls on tungsten resources are expected to further enhance the competitive position of domestic tooling manufacturers [35][37]

Group 1 - A total of 9 companies in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board received institutional research from February 9 to 15, with Huashu High-Tech receiving the most attention from 23 institutions [1] - Liyuanheng, Huarui Precision, and Oke Yi each hosted two batches of institutional research during the week, with Liyuanheng and Oulai New Materials conducting on-site visits [1] - Huashu High-Tech emphasized its 3D printing equipment's applications in the aerospace sector, providing comprehensive solutions for lightweight and complex structures [4][5] Group 2 - Oke Yi highlighted the increasing demand for tools in the aerospace sector, focusing on high-temperature alloys and titanium alloys, and has developed specialized products for this market [4] - The company also noted that AI is transforming the entire lifecycle of tools, enhancing design and manufacturing processes [5] - Semiconductor materials company Oulai New Materials stated that despite rising raw material prices, its profitability remains strong due to ongoing R&D and diversification into high-value fields [7] Group 3 - Semiconductor manufacturer Zhongxin International discussed the impact of strong AI demand on storage chip supply, leading to reduced orders in lower-end markets while increasing orders related to AI and high-end applications [6] - The company expects continued growth in the domestic supply chain due to the return of overseas production and the replacement of old products with new domestic ones [6] - Liyuanheng is focusing on solid-state battery equipment as a key area of development, maintaining technical exchanges with numerous potential clients [8] Group 4 - Fuzhijie Technology is leading a strategic research project aimed at enhancing local biogas resource utilization and developing green methanol technology [9] - The project focuses on an integrated approach to biogas conversion, laying the groundwork for future industrial applications of green fuels [9]

钨是数控刀具核心原材料，2025年以来，钨精矿价格持续走高，对刀具公司的影响有明显分化，头部企 业凭借调价、库存等优势实现业绩增长，而中小公司则面临成本压力甚至减产停工。头部企业资金实力 更雄厚，提前储备了原材料库存，钨价上涨带来的顺价存在时滞性，这些低价库存让企业在成本端形成 明显优势，其利润空间会随着产品提价进一步扩大。 智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，2025年以来，钨精矿价格持续走高，中小公司则面临成本压 力甚至减产停工，日韩企业普遍缺乏钨资源供应保障，而国产头部企业凭借调价、库存等优势实现业绩 增长，后续需求或将集中转向仍有强大接单和供货能力的国内头部企业。刀具行业过去格局分散，价格 竞争激烈，在钨价影响下，正迎来格局重塑的历史性机遇，重点推荐关注。 招商证券主要观点如下： 刀具是机加工耗材，随着制造业发展，需求端平稳增长 QY Research数据显示，2024年全球切削刀具市场销售额达到了286.5亿美元，预计2027年市场规模将为 338.5亿美元。根据观研天下整理的数据，我国刀具行业市场规模从2019年的393亿元增长至2023年的 538亿元。 钨价持续上涨，提前备库+顺价形成利润 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业点评报告 2026 年 01 月 28 日 钨价持续新高，国产头部刀具企业迎来历史性机遇 刀具行业点评 中游制造/机械 3、《商业航天系列研究（一）—国 家战略与产业趋势共振，看好商业航 天 2026 年投资机会》2026-01-16 2025 年以来，钨精矿价格持续走高，中小公司则面临成本压力甚至减产停工， 日韩企业普遍缺乏钨资源供应保障，而国产头部企业凭借调价、库存等优势实 现业绩增长，后续需求或将集中转向仍有强大接单和供货能力的国内头部企业。 刀具行业过去格局分散，价格竞争激烈，在钨价影响下，正迎来格局重塑的历 史性机遇，重点推荐。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 478 | 9.2 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 5565.9 | 4.9 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 4801.0 | 4.6 | 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 12.8 35.2 61.9 相对表现 11.8 21.1 38.7 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -20 0 20 40 60 80 Feb/25 May/25 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 "制造强国"实干系列周报(26/01/25期) 证券分析师： 韩强 A0230518060003 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 王珂 A0230521120002 刘正 A0230518100001 马天一 A0230525040004 戴文杰 A0230522100006 黄莎 A0230522010002 武雨桐 A0230520090001 李蕾 A0230519080008 穆少阳 A0230524070009 李冲 A0230524070001 沈呈熹 A0230524070004 苏萌 A0230524080011 联系人：何佳霖 A0230523080002 2026.1.27 核心观点 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 ◼ 商业航天：1）制造及发射端关注份额或价值量在降本趋势下有望维持相对稳定或具备提升潜力的核心标的；2）应用 端关注通信终端基带、射频芯片及相控阵天线配套标的；3）航天科技集团拥有较多体外资产，有较强并购重组预期。 重点关注标的：1）卫星载荷：信科移动+烽火通信+航天电子+上海瀚迅+臻镭科技，2）卫星平台：复旦微电+智明 ...

Group 1: Key Insights on the Tool Industry - The report suggests that the tool industry is entering a clear upward cycle driven by the supply-side reform, with tungsten carbide price fluctuations being a critical factor influencing the industry's performance [3][4]. - The demand for tools is positively correlated with industrial value-added, indicating a long-term increase in tool demand [3]. - The supply of tungsten is tightening due to a decrease in domestic mining quotas and export controls, leading to a projected global supply gap that will expand significantly by 2027 [4]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape and Market Dynamics - The tool industry is experiencing a shift towards consolidation, with a decline in foreign imports and an increase in domestic production, as evidenced by the drop in import market share from 37.26% in 2016 to 27.16% in 2022 [5]. - Private enterprises are gaining market share due to their innovation capabilities, while state-owned enterprises face challenges in management and innovation [5]. - The financial health of the tool industry is improving, with revenue and net profit growth rates for the first three quarters of 2025 showing significant increases compared to previous years [6]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong R&D capabilities or those that can collaborate effectively with upstream raw material suppliers, as the industry transitions to a technology-driven competitive landscape [6][7]. - The tool industry is expected to see a value reassessment as it exits a deflationary phase and enters an upward cycle, making it an attractive investment opportunity [6].

Group 1 - The core focus of the training program is to enhance the capabilities of entrepreneurs in understanding industry frontiers and leading innovation, contributing to the construction of a resilient and competitive modern industrial system in Sichuan [1][3] - The training program is part of Sichuan's initiative to empower "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" enterprises, aiming to provide in-depth support for promising entrepreneurs [3] - Sichuan has developed a robust nurturing system for quality enterprises, with 12,679 innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, 6,010 provincial specialized and innovative enterprises, and 543 national "little giant" enterprises [3] Group 2 - The integration of digital economy and manufacturing is increasingly attracting attention from "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" enterprises, with a focus on transforming traditional industries through digital technologies [4] - Companies are adopting digital transformation strategies to achieve precise control and cost reduction, with examples from the tool industry highlighting the importance of digital collaboration in optimizing internal management and production processes [5] - The upcoming training sessions will cover advanced topics such as artificial intelligence, robotics, biomedicine, integrated circuits, and commercial aerospace, aimed at cultivating a high-quality, versatile entrepreneurial workforce in Sichuan [6]

Group 1 - The company Zhang Xiaoqin announced the convening of its first extraordinary shareholders' meeting in 2026 to discuss the election of non-independent and independent directors for the third board of directors [2]