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国泰海通:权益自营是券商板块重要选股思路 预计投资意义上的高弹性标的仍将不多
智通财经网· 2025-08-27 03:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the current brokerage sector is gradually moving towards moderate elasticity in active equity, but high-elasticity investment targets will remain limited, requiring collaboration among shareholders, management, and execution departments [1][2] - Equity proprietary trading is identified as a significant source of performance elasticity for brokerages, with a notable increase in market activity reflected in the 16% rise in the Wind All A index and a 28% increase in the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 index since Q3 2025 [1][2] - The report highlights a historical trend over the past decade where fixed income proprietary trading has expanded significantly, while equity proprietary trading has declined, with equity proprietary trading currently accounting for only 8% of investment assets [2] Group 2 - The brokerage sector is witnessing a gradual buildup in active equity, as evidenced by the approval of increased equity proprietary trading limits by Zhongyin Securities' board on August 19 [2] - Despite improvements in the external market environment, the report suggests that the future development of active equity will trend towards moderate elasticity due to constraints from short-term absolute return assessments and declining fixed income proprietary income [2] - In Q3 2024, equity proprietary trading is expected to contribute over 20% of incremental profits, with smaller brokerages showing greater elasticity, as indicated by the performance of the Wind All A index which rose by 18% during the quarter [3]