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方正证券:市场化不改长期价值 核电景气度延续上行
智通财经网· 2025-09-17 02:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report by Founder Securities indicates that despite a potential decrease in nuclear power companies' on-grid electricity prices due to market-driven trading volume growth and annual long-term contract price declines, the steady approval pace of nuclear power projects and the increase in generation capacity from new units are expected to offset price reductions through volume growth. The report suggests focusing on China General Nuclear Power (003816.SZ) and China National Nuclear Power (601985.SH) [1] Group 2 - The current pricing mechanism for nuclear power in China has evolved from a "one plant, one price" system to a market-oriented pricing reform, with significant changes occurring in 2013 and 2020, including the introduction of a benchmark price system and adjustments based on a base price with fluctuations [1] Group 3 - Regional differences in nuclear power pricing exist due to varying progress in marketization and local electricity supply-demand conditions. For instance, Guangdong, Guangxi, and Zhejiang have government-authorized contracts, while Fujian and Liaoning allow full market participation for nuclear power [2][3] - In Guangdong, a one-way price difference settlement mechanism is applied, while Guangxi determines prices monthly based on market averages. Zhejiang combines government contracts with a percentage of spot market trading [2] - In Jiangsu, approximately 300 billion kilowatt-hours are expected to participate in market trading by 2025, with other on-grid electricity being guaranteed at fixed prices [3]