Core Insights - In 2026, China will accelerate the construction of a new forecasting and prediction system to enhance the forecasting and early warning capabilities for extreme weather and climate events, aiming to improve the intelligence level of forecasts and establish Earth system forecasting capabilities [1] Group 1: Forecasting and Prediction Enhancements - The China Meteorological Administration plans to improve the forecasting and early warning capabilities for extreme weather events in 2026, including the pilot promotion of a new generation of short-term warning business systems [1] - The application of artificial intelligence technology will be strengthened to enhance the precision of typhoon and heavy rain forecasts [1] - Development of prediction products for water yield during key basin sub-seasonal heavy rain processes will be promoted, along with provincial pilot projects for sub-seasonal predictions of extreme climate events [1] Group 2: Earth System Forecasting Capabilities - Meteorological departments will focus on developing the next generation of numerical forecasting models and continue to advance specialized models for wind and solar energy [1] - Optimization of meteorological artificial intelligence model systems and research mechanisms will be established, including the creation of a unified base model and the development of coupled reanalysis technology [1] - The second generation of atmospheric reanalysis products will be released, and global forecasting business inspection standards will be established [1] Group 3: Response to Extreme Weather Events - Over the past year, meteorological departments effectively responded to extreme weather disasters, accurately predicting the distribution characteristics of rainfall during the flood season three months in advance [2] - The average lead time for severe convective weather warnings reached a historical high of 48 minutes, and the 24-hour typhoon path forecast error was reduced to 58 kilometers, maintaining international leadership [2] - Collaboration with various departments, including the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, helped mitigate wheat losses by 2.3 billion jin (approximately 1.15 million tons) due to dry hot winds [2]