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海螺水泥(600585):Q1业绩延续回暖 涨价带动盈利能力提升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 10:24
Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 results with revenue of 19.051 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.67%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.810 billion yuan, an increase of 20.51%, aligning with previous performance forecasts [1] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's cement production decline narrowed, with national cement output totaling 331 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.4%. This indicates a gradual release of infrastructure projects, suggesting a potential easing of supply-demand conflicts in the cement market [1] - The company's gross margin significantly improved to 29.67%, up 8.09 percentage points year-on-year. The selling, administrative, research and development, and financial expense ratios were 3.95%, 7.27%, 0.92%, and -0.92%, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 0.58, 0.96, 0.05, and 0.27 percentage points. The total expense ratio rose by 1.86 percentage points to 11.22% [1] - The company recorded a net profit margin of 9.32%, an increase of 2.34 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to rising cement prices, reduced costs, and increased sales volume [1] Cash Flow and Pricing Strategy - The company experienced a significant increase in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow of 503 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 343 million yuan, or 214.92%. The collection ratio was 110.79%, down 6.77 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved collection performance [2] - The company anticipates further price increases in cement, with some companies in East China announcing a third round of price hikes of 20 yuan per ton, and plans for a second round of increases of 30 yuan per ton in Hubei and surrounding areas starting April 1 [2] - The company expects that the ongoing price increases in cement, coupled with increased infrastructure spending, will positively impact profitability and performance in 2025 [2] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast has been slightly adjusted, with expected net profits attributable to shareholders of 10.90 billion, 12.02 billion, and 12.30 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 41.6%, 10.3%, and 2.3%, respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios based on the closing market value on April 29, 2025, are 11.9x, 10.8x, and 10.5x [3]