Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights that green methanol is one of the preferred fuels for achieving near-zero emissions in the shipping industry, with companies that first release products or have cost advantages likely to dominate the competition [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The International Maritime Organization aims to reduce the carbon intensity of global shipping by 40% by 2030, 70% by 2040, and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 compared to 2008 levels [1] - Major shipping companies like Maersk and CMA CGM are adopting green methanol as a primary fuel choice [1] - The Shanghai Old Port Ecological Environmental Base will launch its first batch of green methanol products on January 31, 2026, marking a significant milestone in the project [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - The innovative technology for producing green methanol has achieved a carbon utilization rate of 100%, reducing costs by over 30% compared to traditional methods [2] - The cost of green methanol is approximately 5000 to 6000 RMB per ton, which is 2 to 3 times that of conventional methanol, but the new method can lower the cost to over 3000 RMB per ton [2] - The project utilizes a unique process that combines anaerobic fermentation, gas purification, and methanol synthesis, significantly enhancing efficiency and reducing costs [2] Group 3: Market Potential - Shanghai generates about 3.5 million tons of wet waste annually, which can produce over 400,000 tons of green methanol, with the Old Port base expected to contribute half of this amount [2] - The local capacity for processing wet waste is approximately 11,000 tons per day, with the Old Port base handling 4,500 tons per day, providing a substantial biomass carbon source for green methanol production [2] - The theoretical annual production potential for green methanol at the Old Port base could reach 200,000 tons [2] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Companies that are first to market or lead in reducing costs for green methanol are expected to gain a competitive edge, with specific companies recommended for attention including Ruijie Technology, CIMC Enric, Fuan Energy, Jiaz Renewable Energy, Jidian Co., and China Tianying [3]

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