Market Analysis - Bitcoin's daily chart shows a large bearish engulfing pattern after a false breakout, indicating a potential downward trend [1] - A retracement to test the previous area of resistance occurred, confirming the bearish outlook [1] - The increasing trading volume during the upward movement suggests a distribution phase rather than accumulation [1] - Ethereum may experience a rally to fill gaps and test liquidity, potentially leading to a false breakout before a decline [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests considering short positions if Bitcoin fails to break higher [1] - For short positions, a 20% take profit at previous lows is recommended, with a protective stop-loss on any upward retracements [2] - Traders should be cautious of potential whipsaws in the distribution phase and avoid emotional trading decisions [1][2] Risk Management - The market is designed to manipulate the psychology of ordinary people, requiring awareness of one's own emotions [1] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of making money rather than taking sides with bulls or bears [2] - Be wary of greed if Ethereum rallies and forms a false breakout, especially if Bitcoin is in a distribution phase [2]