Core Viewpoint - The current gold price movement is characterized as a consolidation phase rather than a peak, with a significant breakthrough expected in March 2024 [2][3]. Group 1: Current Gold Price Trends - As of December 4, 2023, spot gold is trading around $4,196.77 per ounce, showing a slight decline of 0.23% [1]. - Gold reached a high of $4,210.00 per ounce and a low of $4,194.23 per ounce during the trading session, indicating a short-term sideways movement [1]. Group 2: Market Analysis and Predictions - The recent price action of gold resembles a breakout trend for 2023 and 2024, rather than the bull markets seen in 1980 and 2011 [2]. - After breaking the strong resistance level of $2,000 per ounce in December 2023, gold quickly surged to $2,100 but faced significant selling pressure shortly after [2]. - Experts initially misinterpreted the price movements as a double top pattern, but it was actually a period of consolidation and range trading [2]. Group 3: Economic Indicators Impacting Gold Prices - The latest jobless claims data from the U.S. Labor Department shows a decrease to 191,000, down from 218,000, which supports the resilience of the U.S. labor market [3]. - This positive labor market data has led to rising yields, which in turn limits the upward movement of gold prices, keeping them in a consolidation phase [3]. - The market is currently awaiting PCE data and Federal Reserve decisions, with expectations of maintaining slight fluctuations until a breakout occurs [3].

朋友們，2025年12月3日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現昨天是一根大陽線 這個是一根毫無疑問的看漲吞沒 還是比較強勢的 我們可以看到 今天好像在延續這樣的一個上漲 但是勢頭並不是特別的強 那麼在這樣的一個位置 到底我們是把它看作一個 w底部的往上突破 還是說把它看作是一個 前面平行高點假突破 又跌回來呢 這兩種看法就對應著兩種不同的交易 如果說你認為這是平行的高點做了假突破 又跌回來 那麼這個時候應該做空 而且是剛好做空的位置 那麼如果說你認為這邊是一個w的底部 然後往上面突破了是一個回踩 剛好在這一帶是考慮做多的位置 所以在這個地方是比較的讓人頭疼的 我們必須切換到更小級別來看一看 到底我們更傾向於 是哪樣的一種可能性 這個是比特幣的一小時級別 我們可以看到一小時級別來說 原先這一帶的支撐阻力互換位踩到 然後後來又站上去 那麼目前來說 我們看到了一個非常清晰的情況 就是在這邊盤整 然後有急跌的k線 然後來到這邊上漲上漲 然後有急漲的k線 那麼在這邊 我會習慣於把它 當做一個畫門的缺口 那麼這樣的一種畫門的缺口 通常會有一定的支撐 那麼我個人是覺得 不 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently experiencing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with Bitcoin's price fluctuating around key resistance and support levels, indicating indecision among traders [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Bitcoin has not yet established a firm breakthrough above $88,300, with a recent peak at $89,183 being labeled as a false breakout [2]. - The current price action suggests a consolidation phase, with both bullish and bearish positions facing challenges due to the lack of clear direction [1][4]. - Ethereum's price movements are closely tied to Bitcoin's performance, indicating that Bitcoin's trends will significantly influence Ethereum's market behavior [4]. Group 2: Trading Strategies - Traders are advised to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on timely profit-taking and avoiding prolonged positions to mitigate potential losses [1]. - Key support and resistance levels have been identified: Bitcoin's resistance at $88,300 and support at $84,800, while Ethereum's range is between $2,966 and $2,835 [4]. - Suggested trading strategies include entering long positions near support levels with tight stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively [4].

Market Analysis - The analysis indicates that Bitcoin's recent price action shows signs of weakness, with a potential false breakout pattern forming on the daily chart [1] - The analyst expresses uncertainty about Bitcoin's short-term direction, noting conflicting signals from the daily chart and broader market trends [1] - The report suggests that any short-term rallies in Bitcoin should be viewed as opportunities to consider short positions [1] - The analysis points out that Bitcoin is currently testing a key hourly support level, and a failure to hold this level could lead to further declines [1] - The analyst anticipates a potential upward move to test resistance levels and fill gaps before a larger downward move [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests that traders who missed earlier shorting opportunities may consider adding to their positions during rallies, with appropriate stop-loss measures [1] - The report advises against chasing short positions at current levels, suggesting waiting for pullbacks to key support levels [1] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of considering potential stop-loss points when opening new positions [1] Overall Sentiment - The analyst expresses a bearish outlook for Bitcoin in 2026, anticipating profitable shorting opportunities [1] - The report suggests that the current market behavior may indicate distribution rather than accumulation, with higher trading volume during down days [2]

朋友們 2025年10月13日華爾街早盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的周線圖 因為今天是華爾街時間的周一 我們來看一下周線級別怎麼樣 從周線來說我們發現毫無疑問 這並不是一個特別好的k線 是一根大陰線 雖然說最後又比較長的下影線收回去 你不能說這個表明著說 非常的強勢給它拉回去 只能說當時出現了一個 恐慌級別的 獵殺合約的慘劇 它最後往下面跌到這個下面 也確實出現了有一些人爆倉掉了 然後價格也就往上面漲 然後成交量我們會發現 並不是一個特別好的情況 因為如果說在盤整區間的 相對上面一些的位置 然後一路跌下來的成交量出現那麼大 小明則說好像這個上方有比較多的拋壓 然後日線級別這樣的說法 我們其實也提了很久了 那麼在原先漲到前面高點的上面的時候 這邊的成交量其實也逐漸有放大 直到在這邊的時候出現了一個完全的釋放 實際上在這樣的一次下跌之後 讓我感覺非常意外的是 竟然很多人對這樣的一次下跌會感到意外 什麼意思 他會覺得怎麼會暴跌那麼多 怎麼實際上暴跌哪裡多一點都不多 你可以看到很多嗎 真不是很多這種情況 其實以往按照比例來說這個是非常常見的 然後很多人可能會說這個也爆倉了 所以我也爆倉了 然後怎麼樣 ...

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's daily chart shows a large bearish engulfing pattern after a false breakout, indicating a potential downward trend [1] - A retracement to test the previous area of resistance occurred, confirming the bearish outlook [1] - The increasing trading volume during the upward movement suggests a distribution phase rather than accumulation [1] - Ethereum may experience a rally to fill gaps and test liquidity, potentially leading to a false breakout before a decline [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests considering short positions if Bitcoin fails to break higher [1] - For short positions, a 20% take profit at previous lows is recommended, with a protective stop-loss on any upward retracements [2] - Traders should be cautious of potential whipsaws in the distribution phase and avoid emotional trading decisions [1][2] Risk Management - The market is designed to manipulate the psychology of ordinary people, requiring awareness of one's own emotions [1] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of making money rather than taking sides with bulls or bears [2] - Be wary of greed if Ethereum rallies and forms a false breakout, especially if Bitcoin is in a distribution phase [2]

朋友們 2025年10月8日華爾街早盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現昨天的k線是一根大陰線 幾乎是把前面這一天的上漲 都給它吞沒掉了 那麼k線形態來講並不是特別的樂觀 而且來上方做假突破的時候 它的成交量還有一點不小 我們會發現來這邊你可以看到 成交量還是有那麼一點點的大 而且這樣的一根陰線 你看對應著非常大的成交量 我之前有說過 如果說行情進入到一段時間的盤整 那麼來到上面如果成交量比較少一點 倒是沒有什麼問題 表明在說什麼價格有點高 大家這個時候要不要買 還有點猶豫 但如果說來上方的時候成交量是比較的大 表明的說這個很明顯的拋壓 那麼來到上方的時候 我們都知道散戶是一個什麼樣的狀態 就是非常的泡沫然後生怕它跌不下去 然後這個時候要買 那麼在高位的時候 選擇賣出的 通常可能是比比較大資金一些的 那麼這個就讓我們非常留意 這邊有沒有可能走這種派發區間 那麼昨天確實是一根大陰線 那麼今天好像有所好轉 你可以看到又反彈起來了 它為什麼會反彈 實際上我們切換到更小級別來看 就非常的清晰 這個是比特幣的一小時級別 我們會發現它是跌到什麼樣的位置 如果說這樣子畫出來 大家可 ...

Market Analysis - The analysis suggests Bitcoin is facing resistance at the time of the report, with potential for a triple top bearish MACD divergence, which is considered a negative signal [1] - The report highlights that a "bearish engulfing" candlestick pattern has formed on the daily chart, potentially trapping buyers and leading to further downward pressure [1] - The analysis indicates that Bitcoin's price action on the 4-hour chart suggests a possible rounding top formation, with weakening upward momentum [1] - The report mentions a potential shorting opportunity around the 0.66% Fibonacci retracement level, with a stop-loss strategy in place [1] - The analysis identifies a potential bounce area (AR - Automatic Rally) and suggests monitoring price action around this level for signs of support or further decline [1] - The report warns of a potential fakeout scenario where Bitcoin could make a false breakout to the upside, triggering stop losses before a more significant downward move [1] - The analysis suggests that Ethereum and altcoins may have an opportunity to rally if Bitcoin consolidates [2] Trading Strategy - The report advises caution for novice traders, recommending against chasing new highs and emphasizing the importance of analyzing price action [1] - The report suggests experienced traders could consider hedging their positions based on price action [1] - The report recommends Bybit as the most suitable contract exchange for technical analysis and Binance for spot trading, highlighting fee reduction benefits [2]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin is showing a significant downward trend on the daily chart, despite a minor positive correction yesterday [1] - A previous support/resistance level was tested, and the failure to hold above it suggests a high probability (80%) of further decline to the next low [1] - The speaker anticipates a potential short-term long position if Bitcoin bounces back from the next low, aiming to profit from liquidity grabs at higher levels like $120,000 or all-time high, before initiating a medium to long-term short position [1] - Ethereum is also experiencing a sharp decline, mirroring Bitcoin's movements and potentially undergoing a longer period of consolidation after a false breakout [1] Trading Strategies - The speaker suggests setting alarms at the next low to monitor for potential long opportunities if a strong rebound occurs [1] - A short-term long strategy is considered if Bitcoin breaks below and then recovers the parallel low, with a target to liquidate at higher liquidity zones [1] - For Ethereum, a long trade is possible if the price breaks below and then recovers a flat bottom area; otherwise, it may follow a similar pattern of false breakout followed by a decline [1] Risk Management - The speaker emphasizes the importance of adjusting one's perspective based on current market behavior, rather than fixed predictions [1] - The speaker highlights a potential bull trap on the hourly chart, where a breakout followed by a pullback may lure traders into long positions before a sharp decline [1] - The speaker plans to take profit in a timely manner if the price reaches a higher position, and try to make a mid- to long-term short [1]

Market Analysis - The analysis suggests that Bitcoin is currently facing some challenges at the daily chart level, with potential difficulties in determining the optimal trading strategy due to market volatility [1] - The report considers the possibility of a "fake breakout" scenario, where the price might initially rise to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing downwards [1] - The analysis suggests that large capital may not allow traders to easily set their short stop-loss orders, indicating a potential for market manipulation [1] - The report suggests the possibility of Bitcoin accumulating short positions before rising to break through previous highs, potentially creating a short squeeze [1] - The analysis indicates that Ethereum (ETH) may follow Bitcoin's downward trend, potentially breaking through lower support levels [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst is inclined to wait for a higher price point, specifically around $120,000, before considering shorting Bitcoin, despite the risk of missing a potential downward move [1] - The report suggests that if one is concerned about missing a potential downward move, a small short position could be initiated with a stop-loss order placed above the recent high [1][2] - The analysis suggests that a key level to watch for Ethereum is a potential fake breakout at previous highs, which could present a shorting opportunity in conjunction with Bitcoin [2] Liquidity and Market Sentiment - The analysis suggests that liquidity plays a significant role in driving market movements, especially within smaller ranges [1] - The report notes that stop-loss orders are likely clustered around previous highs, indicating a potential target for market manipulation to liquidate these positions [1] - The analysis observes an increase in short positions being opened during price declines, but without a corresponding drop in price, suggesting a potential short trap [1]