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Netflix Stock Is Soaring: Is It a Buy, Sell, or Hold?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-16 07:41
Core Viewpoint - Netflix's stock has surged over 160% since the beginning of 2024, with a 42% increase in 2025 alone, leading to high expectations for its upcoming earnings report [1][2]. Group 1: Business Performance and Growth Catalysts - Netflix's underlying business is performing strongly, with multiple catalysts driving growth [2][4]. - The advertising business is expected to double its revenue this year, contributing positively to overall financials [5]. - The operating margin has expanded to 31.7% in Q1 2025, up from 28.1% year-over-year, with a full-year guidance of 29% [6]. - Price increases for subscription plans have been successful, with management expecting to benefit from a full quarter of these increases in Q2 [7][8]. Group 2: Financial Projections - Management anticipates a revenue growth rate of 15.4% year-over-year for Q2, an increase from 12.5% in Q1 2025 [10]. - The projected operating margin for Q2 is 33.3%, significantly higher than the previous year's 27.2% and Q1 2025's 31.7% [10]. - If guidance is met, earnings per share for Q1 will be $7.03, reflecting a 44% year-over-year increase [11]. Group 3: Valuation Considerations - Despite a high price-to-earnings multiple of about 60, the stock's valuation is supported by strong growth drivers [9]. - The combination of revenue growth and operating margin expansion justifies the premium valuation of the stock [11][12].