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海外矿山资本开支景气上行,国产主机厂出海空间广阔 | 投研报告
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that global mining capital expenditure is on the rise, driven by high prices of major mineral products, particularly in the copper and aluminum sectors, while black metals like iron and manganese are experiencing lower prices due to weak demand [1][4]. - According to S&P Global data, capital expenditure for the top 30 global mining companies is expected to grow by 6.2% in 2023, reaching $109.2 billion, which is still over 30% lower than the peak of $145.7 billion in 2013 [1][4]. - Bain & Company forecasts that global mining investment will increase from $370 billion in 2022-2024 to $400 billion in 2025-2027, representing an 8% growth, indicating a further upward trend in the mining sector [4]. Group 2 - The machinery sector, particularly lithium battery equipment, has shown significant growth, with a 10.5% increase, while the elevator segment has seen a decline of 3.2% [2]. - The overall performance of the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index increased by 2.7%, with the machinery sector rising by 0.7%, ranking 12th among all primary industries [2]. - There is a broad opportunity for domestic machinery manufacturers to expand overseas, particularly in line with the Belt and Road Initiative, as they seek to capture market share in international markets [3][4].