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日本水产放开进口,“潘多拉的海鲜盒”即将打开?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-01 12:42
Core Viewpoint - China has partially lifted the ban on Japanese seafood imports, allowing products from 37 prefectures to enter the market, while maintaining restrictions on 10 prefectures, including Fukushima, due to safety concerns related to radioactive contamination [1][3][4]. Policy and Regulatory Summary - The Chinese government emphasizes that while imports are allowed under certain conditions, the stance on Japan's nuclear wastewater discharge remains unchanged, with immediate restrictions to be imposed if risks are detected [4]. - Hong Kong has also lifted some restrictions on Japanese seafood, while Macau continues to enforce its ban on products from the 10 high-risk prefectures [4]. Economic and Market Implications - The timing of the import resumption is significant, occurring shortly after an agreement between China and Japan to restart import procedures, indicating efficient policy execution [5]. - This move is seen as a potential strategy by China to ease regional tensions while managing its complex foreign relations, particularly with the United States [5]. Consumer Sentiment and Market Dynamics - Consumer perceptions of Japanese seafood have shifted significantly over the past two years, with concerns about safety and the availability of alternatives posing challenges for the re-entry of Japanese products into the Chinese market [6][7]. - In 2022, China imported $500 million worth of seafood from Japan, but projections for 2024 indicate a drastic decline to only $10,000, highlighting the market's volatility [6]. Trust and Transparency Efforts - Japan is working to restore market confidence through increased transparency, third-party testing, and enhanced export certification [8]. - Despite these efforts, the lingering negative perceptions associated with radioactive contamination present a significant hurdle for Japanese seafood to regain consumer trust in China [8]. Future Outlook - The path for Japanese seafood to re-establish itself in the Chinese market is complex, requiring careful navigation of consumer safety concerns, regulatory compliance, and political sensitivities [9].