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Cava, Chipotle and other fast-casual restaurant chains are finally hit by consumer slowdown
CNBC· 2025-08-13 18:51
Core Insights - The fast-casual restaurant sector is experiencing a significant downturn, with major chains like Cava, Chipotle, and Shake Shack reporting disappointing sales and stock declines in 2025 [1][3][4] Company Performance - Cava's stock fell 16% after reporting a same-store sales growth of only 2.1%, significantly below Wall Street's expectation of 6.1% and down from 14.4% in the previous year [1][12] - Chipotle reported a same-store sales decline of 4% in the second quarter, attributing this to a pullback from low-income consumers [5] - Shake Shack shares have decreased by 16%, while Chipotle and Cava have seen declines of 28% and 37%, respectively [3] - Sweetgreen's stock has plunged 70%, with the company experiencing a "really, really rough quarter" due to a cautious consumer environment [3][9] Industry Trends - The fast-casual segment is facing reduced foot traffic and sales, with consumers becoming more cautious amid economic uncertainty [2][4] - The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index dropped to 52.2 in April, indicating heightened economic anxiety among consumers [7] - Fast-casual chains are seeing a shift in consumer preferences towards lower-priced options, as indicated by Chipotle's CEO [6] Future Outlook - Despite current challenges, Cava's executives believe that same-store sales have improved entering the third quarter, and they do not see consumers trading down to cheaper protein options [15] - Other chains like Chipotle and Sweetgreen are also reporting signs of recovery, with Chipotle noting traffic growth and Sweetgreen seeing modest improvements in same-store sales [16]