清洁氢能开发

Search documents
清洁氢能项目面临大规模取消
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-08 02:52
Core Insights - The global hydrogen energy sector is experiencing significant project cancellations and delays due to insufficient demand, high costs, and strategic adjustments by companies [1][2][3] - Major developers are reassessing their commitments made during the industry's optimistic early phase, focusing on core businesses and reducing high-risk hydrogen investments [1][2] - Government support is crucial for bridging the cost gap and aiding early adopters in the hydrogen sector, as many projects rely heavily on subsidies and public funding [2][3] Group 1: Project Cancellations and Delays - Approximately 48% of the canceled hydrogen capacity, equating to about 6 million tons per year, is attributed to strategic adjustments by developers [1] - Lack of strong demand has led to 13% of project cancellations, with actual demand growth falling short of market predictions due to low willingness to pay and regulatory uncertainties [1] - The high costs associated with clean hydrogen indirectly contribute to insufficient demand and poor return rates, leading to project cancellations even when purchase agreements are in place [1] Group 2: Cost and Regulatory Challenges - Short-term cost reductions for hydrogen projects are unlikely, as the industry is still maturing and cost estimation remains in an exploratory phase [2] - Nearly 20 hydrogen projects have been canceled due to permitting issues related to environmental impact, land use, and water supply [2] - The complexity of large-scale infrastructure projects increases the likelihood of cancellations, particularly for electrolysis, which faces challenges in securing renewable electricity from the grid [2] Group 3: Industry Outlook and Government Support - The initial enthusiasm for clean hydrogen is giving way to a more cautious approach, with project cancellations and delays seen as a necessary phase for the industry to gain experience [3] - New projects continue to emerge in regions like India and China, indicating ongoing interest despite challenges [3] - Strong government support, real market signals, and clearer investment guidelines are essential for bridging the gap between policy ambitions and commercial viability in hydrogen projects [3]