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中经评论:6G发展不是一步到位
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-21 00:04
Core Viewpoint - The consensus in the industry is that the development of 6G is a gradual process rather than an immediate leap, correcting some overly ambitious perspectives on the technology race for the future [1][4] Group 1: Development Process - There are views that suggest skipping the 5G-A phase to achieve 6G directly, which could disrupt the technological evolution chain and weaken the foundation for 6G [1] - The development of 6G is structured in three phases: the first phase identifies key technical directions, the second focuses on typical scenarios and performance indicators, and the third involves the development of pre-commercial devices and testing of key products [2] - The current stage of 6G development is the second phase, emphasizing the importance of leveraging the existing capabilities of 5G as a foundational element for 6G [2] Group 2: Technical and Industrial Implications - 6G is expected to achieve data transmission speeds 10 to 100 times faster than 5G, with latency reduced to one-tenth of that of 5G, significantly enhancing performance metrics [2] - The integration of communication, perception, computation, and intelligence in 6G will support applications like digital twins and large-scale connectivity, driving the development of upstream and downstream industries such as chips, devices, and system integration [2] - The establishment of the first version of 6G standards does not need to be perfect but should show significant improvements over existing 5G standards, allowing for future iterations and refinements [3] Group 3: Innovation and Collaboration - The innovation of terminals in 6G will not happen overnight; it will require deep integration between the automotive and communication industries, as well as a lengthy process of technological adaptation and cost optimization [3] - Over 300 key technologies related to 6G are being developed in China, focusing on terminal innovation through iterative technological advancements [3] - The industry must maintain a clear understanding that significant innovations are the result of continuous optimization rather than sudden breakthroughs, emphasizing the importance of standard-setting and technology integration [4]