申展利进一步说，近年来，受全球气候变化影响，灾害性天气的突发性、极端性、不确定性愈加明显， 特别是进入汛期，突破历史纪录和传统认知的灾害频繁发生。当前，正处于"七下八上"防汛关键期，这 是一年中防汛形势最复杂、最严峻的时期。同时，暑期外出旅游、野外施工作业处于旺季，安全风险较 为突出。 新华财经北京8月5日电应急管理部新闻发言人、新闻宣传司司长申展利5日在新闻发布会上通报，8月 份，我国七大江河流域全面进入主汛期。华北、东北、华东、华南、西南部分地区洪涝和风雹灾害风险 高，海河流域、松辽流域部分河流可能发生较大洪水；预计有2到3个台风登陆或影响我国，1个台风影 响长江以北地区；大兴安岭、新疆北部、中南、西南局部地区森林火灾风险较高；云南西部局部地区地 质灾害风险高；长江中下游、江淮、新疆中北部局部地区存在高温干旱风险。 （文章来源：新华财经） ...

Group 1 - The rumor of a potential major earthquake in Japan in July has led to a decline in tourist confidence and a significant drop in travel orders to Japan [1][3] - Despite the rumors, the overall daily life and tourism market in Japan remain stable, with high domestic travel demand and limited impact on local residents [4] - Airlines, such as Hong Kong's "Greater Bay Area Airlines," have reduced flights to Japan due to decreased demand attributed to the earthquake rumors, marking an unusual move during the peak travel season [3][4] Group 2 - A survey indicated a high percentage of tourists believe in the earthquake rumors, which may be influenced by cultural factors such as feng shui beliefs prevalent in Hong Kong [4] - Travel agencies report that while some tourists may be swayed by the rumors, the majority of travelers, especially Chinese tourists, continue to make travel decisions based on personal preferences [4] - Experts suggest that the public should remain calm and verify the authenticity of such predictions, while also emphasizing the importance of disaster preparedness [4]