Workflow
煤电盈利稳定性
icon
Search documents
大唐发电(601991):2025年三季报点评:资产减值前置,三季度业绩仍高增长
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-10-31 11:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Datang Power Generation [3] Core Views - The company reported strong growth in Q3 2025 despite asset impairment provisions, with a significant increase in net profit [5] - The average on-grid electricity price decreased slightly, while coal prices showed a downward trend, which may support future profitability [5] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 indicates a steady increase, with corresponding PE ratios suggesting attractive valuation levels [5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 89.345 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.82%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.712 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 51.48% [5] - In Q3 alone, revenue was 32.152 billion yuan, down 1.62% year-on-year, but net profit rose by 61.18% [5] - The gross margin and net margin for Q3 were 20.94% and 10.43%, respectively, showing improvements of 7.70 percentage points and 3.86 percentage points year-on-year [5] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 123.886 billion yuan, 126.715 billion yuan, and 128.005 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 0.3%, 2.3%, and 1.0% [2] - Expected net profits for the same years are 6.855 billion yuan, 7.296 billion yuan, and 7.505 billion yuan, with growth rates of 52.1%, 6.4%, and 2.9% [2] Key Financial Ratios - The report highlights a projected PE ratio of 10.31x for 2025, decreasing to 9.42x by 2027, indicating potential for value appreciation [2] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 17.7% in 2025 to 18.0% in 2026 and 2027 [2] - The company's asset-liability ratio is projected to decrease from 69.7% in 2025 to 67.7% in 2027, indicating improved financial stability [2]