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Strategy's Falling Stock Price Can Produce Profit Using A Bear Call Spread
Investors· 2025-10-15 17:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential investment strategy involving a bear call spread on Strategy stock, which is currently underperforming and facing downward pressure due to its declining relative strength and moving averages [1][5]. Summary by Sections Stock Performance - Strategy stock closed near its daily low and is below the 21-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend [1]. - The relative strength line for Strategy has been declining since mid-July, suggesting ongoing weakness in the stock [1]. Options Strategy - A bear call spread strategy is proposed, which involves selling an out-of-the-money call and buying a further out-of-the-money call, allowing for potential profit if the stock remains below a certain price [2]. - Specifically, a Nov. 21 expiry bear call spread using the 350-355 strike prices can be sold for around $1 [2]. Profit and Loss Potential - The maximum profit from this trade would be $100, while the maximum loss could reach $400, representing a potential return of 25% if the stock closes below 350 on Nov. 21 [3]. - The break-even price for this strategy is set at 351 at expiration, with a stop-loss suggested if the stock trades above 330 or if the spread value increases from $1 to $2 [4]. Ratings and Earnings - Investor's Business Daily rates Strategy stock with a Composite Rating of 20 out of 99, an Earnings Per Share Rating of 32, and a Relative Strength Rating of 21, ranking it 53rd in its group [5]. - The company is expected to report earnings in late October, which introduces earnings risk for the proposed options strategy if held until expiration [5].