Group 1: Market Trends - The U.S. stock market saw a significant rebound in technology and AI-related stocks, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices both rising over 3%, and the Nasdaq increasing by more than 4.9% due to heightened expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [1] - International oil prices experienced a slight increase, with U.S. oil futures rising by 0.84% and Brent oil futures by 1.02%, as investors cautiously assessed the prospects of a peace agreement in Ukraine and the ongoing impact of U.S. sanctions on Russia's oil industry [2] - International gold prices surged over 4.3% last week, driven by rising expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December and a decline in the U.S. dollar index [4] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve has entered a quiet period ahead of its December 9-10 meeting, with key economic data being released, including the U.S. September Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which is expected to maintain a high year-on-year growth rate of 2.9% [5] - The ISM Manufacturing PMI for November is anticipated to slightly rise to 49.0, still indicating contraction, with potential implications for market sentiment regarding a recovery in manufacturing [5] - Additional economic indicators, including the final value of the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for November and the preliminary consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan for December, will also be released, providing insights into the current economic situation and consumer spending trends post-Black Friday [5] Group 3: Corporate Earnings - This week, several U.S. technology companies involved in the AI industry, including Credo, Marvell Technology, and ServiceTitan, are set to release their earnings reports, which will be closely monitored for their impact on market enthusiasm for AI-related stocks [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential investment strategy involving a bear call spread on Strategy stock, which is currently underperforming and facing downward pressure due to its declining relative strength and moving averages [1][5]. Summary by Sections Stock Performance - Strategy stock closed near its daily low and is below the 21-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend [1]. - The relative strength line for Strategy has been declining since mid-July, suggesting ongoing weakness in the stock [1]. Options Strategy - A bear call spread strategy is proposed, which involves selling an out-of-the-money call and buying a further out-of-the-money call, allowing for potential profit if the stock remains below a certain price [2]. - Specifically, a Nov. 21 expiry bear call spread using the 350-355 strike prices can be sold for around $1 [2]. Profit and Loss Potential - The maximum profit from this trade would be $100, while the maximum loss could reach $400, representing a potential return of 25% if the stock closes below 350 on Nov. 21 [3]. - The break-even price for this strategy is set at 351 at expiration, with a stop-loss suggested if the stock trades above 330 or if the spread value increases from $1 to $2 [4]. Ratings and Earnings - Investor's Business Daily rates Strategy stock with a Composite Rating of 20 out of 99, an Earnings Per Share Rating of 32, and a Relative Strength Rating of 21, ranking it 53rd in its group [5]. - The company is expected to report earnings in late October, which introduces earnings risk for the proposed options strategy if held until expiration [5].

Core Insights - Intuit Inc. is set to report its earnings on August 21, 2025, with a historical positive post-earnings reaction rate of 71% over the past five years, yielding a median gain of 2.9% [2][7] - The consensus for the upcoming quarter anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of $2.66 on revenue of $3.75 billion, compared to EPS of $1.99 on revenue of $3.18 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - Intuit's current market capitalization is $201 billion, with trailing twelve months revenue of $18 billion, operating profit of $4.7 billion, and net income of $3.5 billion [4] Earnings Reaction History - Over the last five years, Intuit experienced 12 positive and 5 negative one-day (1D) moves post-earnings, resulting in a positive hit rate of approximately 71% [7] - In the last three years, the positive reaction rate has slightly decreased to 67%, with a median positive return of 2.9% and a median negative return of -3.8% [7] Trading Strategies - A pre-earnings strategy suggests using historical probabilities of positive reactions to establish positions ahead of earnings releases [6] - A post-earnings strategy involves evaluating immediate reactions and their correlation with medium-term performance to inform trading decisions [6][8] Correlation with Peers - The performance of peers can influence Intuit's post-earnings reactions, with historical data indicating correlations between Intuit's 1D moves and those of its peers reporting around the same time [9]

Group 1 - The company Strategy (MSTR.US) announced the purchase of 430 bitcoins for a total price of $51.4 million, increasing its total bitcoin holdings to 629,378 bitcoins, valued at $4.615 billion [1] - The average purchase price for the bitcoins was $119,700 each, while the bitcoin price fell by 2.4% to $115,400, leading to a 0.85% decline in Strategy's stock price on the same day [1] - Strategy updated its At-the-Market (ATM) equity program to include a new purpose for raised funds, which is to issue Strategy stock when the defined mNAV (market-adjusted net asset value) is below 2.5 times [1] Group 2 - During the period from August 11 to 17, the company did not sell any common stock through the ATM plan but raised a total of $50.4 million by selling shares of STRK, STRF, and STRD stocks [2]

Core Viewpoint - Deel, a human resources technology startup valued at $12 billion, is embroiled in a corporate espionage scandal, leading to the resignation of its communications chief, Elisabeth Diana [1][2]. Group 1: Company Background - Deel was co-founded by Alex Bouaziz and Wang Shuo, with Wang being a Chinese entrepreneur who studied at MIT [1]. - The company is currently facing legal disputes with competitor Rippling, which has accused Deel of hiring its employees for espionage activities [1][2]. Group 2: Recent Developments - A former Rippling employee, Keith O'Brien, submitted a sworn statement alleging that Deel's CEO, Alex Bouaziz, offered him $6,000 per month to spy on Rippling [2]. - O'Brien claimed Bouaziz compared him to a 007 agent and suggested destroying evidence, including smashing his phone [2]. - Deel's spokesperson has denied these allegations, labeling them as baseless and accusing Rippling of using litigation as a business strategy [2]. Group 3: Implications and Future Outlook - The ongoing legal battle is expected to reveal more details regarding the espionage claims, which could significantly impact Deel's valuation if the allegations are proven true [3].