物贸一体化战略
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密尔克卫(603713):物贸一体化战略成效显现,静待化工需求恢复
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-10-30 07:26
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The effectiveness of the integrated logistics strategy is becoming evident, with anticipation for a recovery in chemical demand [5][6] - The company's Q3 revenue showed a slight increase of 2.1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.5% [6] - The total assets increased by 41.42% year-on-year, indicating rapid expansion in distribution business [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: 9,753 million RMB - 2024: 12,118 million RMB (24.26% growth) - 2025E: 13,311 million RMB (9.84% growth) - 2026E: 15,303 million RMB (14.96% growth) - 2027E: 17,192 million RMB (12.35% growth) [5][7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 431 million RMB in 2023 to 862 million RMB in 2027, with a growth rate of 31.04% in 2024 [5][7] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 2.73 RMB in 2023 to 5.45 RMB in 2027 [5][7] Operational Efficiency - The company has improved its cash flow significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities reaching 940 million RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, compared to -160 million RMB in the same period last year [6] - The net operating cycle is approximately 50 days, a reduction of 3 days year-on-year, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [6] Strategic Developments - The logistics network is continuously optimized, with significant progress in building hazardous chemical support and expanding into lower-tier markets [6] - The company has successfully developed clients in three major sectors: new energy, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals, indicating a diversified client base [6]