特种水产饲料
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粤海饲料(001313):应收账款回收向好,工厂相继投产未来可期
HUAXI Securities· 2025-11-10 08:54
Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company has achieved a revenue of 4.997 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.18%, and has turned a profit with a net profit of 26 million yuan [1][2]. - The company has been a leader in the special aquatic feed industry for over 30 years, focusing on research and development, production, and sales [2][12]. - The company has seen a recovery in accounts receivable, which has positively impacted its profitability [3][42]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has evolved from a local shrimp feed manufacturer to an international aquatic feed group, emphasizing product innovation and a comprehensive marketing network [2][12]. - From 2015 to 2022, total revenue increased from 3.6 billion yuan to 7.092 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 10% [2][16]. Financial Performance - In 2023 and 2024, the company faced a decline in revenue due to adverse industry factors, with total revenue dropping to 5.912 billion yuan in 2024 [2][16]. - The company reported a net profit of 0.26 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, recovering from previous losses [1][17]. Accounts Receivable Management - The company has improved its management of accounts receivable, with credit impairment losses decreasing significantly in 2025 compared to 2024 [3][42]. - The company reported a credit impairment loss of 1.26 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, down from 2.85 billion yuan in the same period of 2024 [43][42]. Production Capacity Expansion - The company has recently launched new production facilities in Anhui and Vietnam, each with an annual capacity exceeding 100,000 tons [40][41]. - The total production capacity is now over 2.5 million tons, which is expected to support significant growth in feed sales [40][41]. Future Revenue Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 7.541 billion yuan, 8.498 billion yuan, and 9.348 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [47]. - The projected net profits for the same years are 0.88 billion yuan, 1.67 billion yuan, and 2.34 billion yuan [47].