Workflow
生成式预训练Transformer(GPT)
icon
Search documents
20年后你会患哪些疾病?这款AI大模型登上Nature,能够预测上千种疾病风险
生物世界· 2025-09-19 04:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the development of an AI model named Delphi-2M, which can predict the risk of over 1,000 diseases based on an individual's medical history and lifestyle factors, potentially forecasting health outcomes decades in advance [2][5]. Group 1: AI Model Development - Delphi-2M is a generative transformer-based AI model that can predict the likelihood of developing 1,258 diseases over a 20-year period by analyzing health records and lifestyle choices [2][5]. - The model was trained using long-term biomedical monitoring data from 400,000 participants in the UK Biobank, incorporating factors such as age, gender, BMI, and health-related habits like smoking and drinking [5][9]. Group 2: Predictive Accuracy - Delphi-2M's predictions are comparable to or exceed the accuracy of existing models that assess single disease risks, and it outperforms machine learning algorithms that use biomarkers for multi-disease risk prediction [7][9]. - The model was tested on a dataset of 1.9 million health records from the Danish National Patient Registry, showing reliable predictive capabilities even outside its training dataset [9]. Group 3: Limitations and Future Directions - While Delphi-2M represents a significant advancement in modeling multiple diseases, it has limitations, such as relying on initial disease occurrence data, which may not fully capture an individual's health trajectory [9]. - The research team plans to evaluate Delphi-2M's predictive accuracy using datasets from multiple countries to broaden its applicability [9].