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国证国际:予中化化肥(00297)“买入”评级 目标价1.6港元
智通财经网· 2025-03-28 09:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Sinochem Fertilizer (00297) is expected to achieve net profits of 1.23 billion, 1.38 billion, and 1.53 billion from 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year increases of 15.5%, 12.4%, and 10.8% respectively [1] - The company's performance in 2024 met expectations, with operating revenue of 21.27 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.1%, and a net profit of 1.06 billion, a year-on-year increase of 69.5% [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 12.0%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 5%, up 2.1 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The growth business segment showed positive development, with revenues from core, growth, and production businesses reaching 10.87 billion, 8.02 billion, and 2.38 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of -4%, +2%, and -7% [2] - The core business revenue decreased by 4.7 billion due to fluctuations in potash market prices, with an average selling price down by 16% year-on-year [2] - The growth business revenue increased by 1.8 billion, with profits rising by 45%, attributed to the success of the company's bio + strategy and significant growth in high-end compound fertilizer sales [2] Group 3 - Bio-fertilizers have become a key growth driver for the company, with bio-fertilizer revenue reaching 4.3 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 19%, accounting for 22% of total revenue [3] - The sales volume of bio-fertilizers reached 1.35 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with the company launching various bio-based products [3] - The report highlights that the company's emphasis on R&D has led to significant improvements in the performance of bio-fertilizers in terms of stress resistance, quality enhancement, and crop yield increase, enhancing user reputation and industry influence [3]