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中泰股份(300435)深度研究:纵横齐发展 中泰深冷扬帆起航
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 08:34
Industry Overview - The global cryogenic equipment investment has exceeded 170 billion yuan, and it is expected to surpass 250 billion yuan by 2030. The main end-use applications are metallurgy, chemicals, and oil & gas, accounting for 27%, 21%, and 16% respectively [1] - Overseas demand is primarily concentrated in the petrochemical and LNG sectors, with typical equipment including ethylene cold boxes and LNG liquefaction devices, projected market sizes for 2024 are 8.4 billion yuan and 6.1 billion yuan respectively [1] - Domestic demand in China will be driven by coal chemical projects in Xinjiang, leading to over 56 billion yuan in related equipment investments in the current cycle [1] Company Performance - Zhongtai Co., Ltd. has successfully expanded overseas, with products sold to 52 countries, and the quality and amount of new orders are improving year by year. The company has established good relationships with several globally recognized clients, expecting a performance inflection point in Q1 2025 due to the release of high-margin overseas orders [2] - The company has advantages in delivery capability and maintenance response, having passed major global certification systems, and is expected to see continuous growth in new orders [2] - Zhongtai is diversifying its development by leveraging cryogenic heat exchange technology to expand into electronic specialty gases and hydrogen energy sectors, opening up long-term growth opportunities [2] Financial Projections - Zhongtai Co., Ltd. is expected to see a significant improvement in its overall revenue structure due to a large number of new high-quality equipment orders, supporting high growth in annual performance. The adjusted net profit for the company for 2025-2027 is projected to be 420 million yuan, 574 million yuan, and 706 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 13.4, 9.8, and 8.0 times based on the closing price on June 3, 2025 [3]