电池新能源
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于清教:我国电池新能源已经从“迎头追赶”到“一马当先”
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-12 00:07
Core Insights - China's battery new energy industry has made significant progress, evolving from "catching up" to "leading the way" in recent years [1][2] - The rapid development of the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector has driven growth in the energy storage industry, with a projected increase in installed capacity [1][2] Group 1: New Energy Vehicles - The number of NEVs in China has surged from 1.2 million in 2019 to 31.4 million by 2024, representing a growth of over 25 times [1] - By mid-2025, the NEV ownership in China is expected to reach 36.89 million [1] - Global NEV production and sales are projected to reach 22 million units by 2025, with China accounting for over 16 million units [1] Group 2: Energy Storage Industry - By mid-2025, China's new energy storage installed capacity is expected to reach 94.91 million kilowatts, a 29% increase from the end of 2024 [1][2] - The demand for energy storage cells is strong, with leading battery companies operating at full capacity and some orders extending into early 2026 [1] Group 3: Future Projections and Challenges - The goal for China's new energy storage installed capacity is set to exceed 180 million kilowatts by 2027, potentially driving an investment of approximately 250 billion yuan [2] - Next-generation battery technologies, including sodium batteries and solid-state batteries, are advancing rapidly, with sodium batteries already in mass production [2] - The industry is facing challenges such as price wars, international trade barriers, and raw material volatility, which may impact company resilience [2] Group 4: Green Low-Carbon Industry - China's green low-carbon industry is currently valued at approximately 11 trillion yuan, with potential for significant growth in the next five years [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to establish around 100 national-level zero-carbon parks, which will provide substantial development opportunities for the green low-carbon sector [3] - The battery new energy sector is viewed as a revolution in technology, industry, and energy, with Chinese companies expected to play a leading role in setting rules and driving innovation [3]