相对估值法

Search documents
纯正的估值建模干货来了!从零开始快速上手
梧桐树下V· 2025-06-14 04:11
Core Viewpoint - Financial valuation modeling has become an essential hard skill in various fields such as investment decision-making, mergers and acquisitions, fund management, and risk control. However, only a small portion of individuals can proficiently apply these skills. To address this gap, a course titled "Financial Valuation Modeling from Beginner to Proficient" has been introduced to help individuals understand and master valuation modeling methods from scratch [1]. Course Overview - The course is designed to provide a comprehensive understanding of financial valuation modeling, covering both relative and absolute valuation methods, including practical case studies and Excel modeling techniques [11][20]. - The course duration is 7 hours and 22 minutes, and it is offered at a promotional price of 149.5 yuan with additional discounts available [10][24]. Course Content Breakdown 1. Relative Valuation Method - Introduction to Excel shortcuts commonly used in valuation modeling - Detailed explanation of the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio and its application in relative valuation - Introduction to other relative valuation methods such as Price-to-Book (PB) ratio [11]. 2. DCF Absolute Valuation Method - Explanation of the time value of money and the significance of discounting - Key valuation terms such as enterprise value and equity value - Overview of free cash flow and weighted average cost of capital (WACC) [11]. 3. DCF Case Studies - Simplified DCF valuation model using Kweichow Moutai as an example - Steps for cash flow discounting and stock price prediction - Complete valuation modeling framework including financial statement forecasting [11]. 4. Valuation Modeling Techniques - Scenario analysis and sensitivity analysis using Excel functions - Techniques for handling depreciation in Excel [12][13]. 5. Instructor Credentials - The course is taught by a well-qualified instructor with a master's degree from the University of Pennsylvania and extensive experience in financial analysis and risk management [15][17]. 6. Practical Applications - The course includes real-world examples and case studies from well-known companies to illustrate valuation modeling concepts [21][23].
对话菁英投顾——“长河”主创裘昕浩
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-03-12 02:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current bullish sentiment in China's A-share market, particularly in the technology growth sector, and suggests that 2025 may present significant investment opportunities as the market continues to evolve [2]. Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy is tailored for two types of investors: "Buddhist" investors who accept short-term volatility for long-term compounding, and "robotic" investors who strictly adhere to trading plans without emotional interference [7]. - The guiding principle is to use trends as anchors and discipline as boundaries to achieve optimal risk-reward dynamics [7]. Timing and Risk Management - Timing is viewed not as predicting the future but as aligning with trends; confirmation of trends through technical signals is emphasized for entry points [9]. - The investment framework includes four modules: trend selection, right-side entry, dynamic risk control, and capital management [10]. Stock Selection Logic - The investment strategy does not set fixed holding periods but is driven by signals; strict stop-loss measures are in place if expectations are not met [11]. - The approach is primarily bottom-up, focusing on individual stock trends while also considering top-down factors to enhance selection [12][13].