指标方面，美元兑瑞郎MACD指标显示DIFF与DEA在零轴下方小幅修复，红色柱状图逐渐放大，显示 短期多头动能有所回升。但DIFF与DEA仍处负区，趋势性上行尚未完全确认。相对强弱指标(RSI)显示 55.35，已经突破中性区间，处于偏强格局，但距离超买区域仍有空间。整体来看分析认为，技术面短 期呈现温和反弹，但上方阻力强劲，趋势反转仍需确认。 周二（9月23日）美元兑瑞郎汇率今日开盘报0.7922，昨日收盘于0.7925，截至发稿前美元/瑞郎报 0.7920，涨幅0.07%，最高价0.7927，最低价0.7910。昨日，美元兑瑞郎在触及0.7970高点后回落，目前 跌至0.7950下方。 投资者正减少美元多头头寸，等待多位美联储官员的讲话，这些讲话可能为未来的货币政策走向提供线 索。昨日晚些时候，包括新任理事斯蒂芬·米兰在内的五位美联储官员发表讲话。⑷市场尤其关注米 兰，他上周对委员会仅降息25个基点的决定投了反对票，主张更大幅度的降息，即50个基点。这些讲话 为美联储主席鲍威尔今日的发言奠定基调，投资者将密切关注鲍威尔的评论，以验证对美联储未来将连 续降息的押注。与此同时，本周四，瑞士央行将公布其货币政策 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market, driven by technology stocks, is nearing historical highs, but analysts warn of potential pullbacks unless broader market participation increases [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The S&P 500 index has rebounded strongly since April, now less than 1% from its all-time high [1] - A key market breadth indicator shows little change since May, with the equal-weighted S&P 500 index still over 4% below its historical peak from last November [1] - Only three sectors—Information Technology, Industrials, and Communication Services—have reached new highs among the 11 sectors of the S&P 500 [2] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Dan Wantrobski from Janney Montgomery Scott indicates that without stronger support from financial, transportation, and small-cap stocks, the market's momentum may wane in the coming months [1] - Fundstrat's Mark Newton sees positive signals from the recent strong performance of industrial, transportation, consumer discretionary, and financial sectors, even if they haven't reached new highs [2] - LPL's Adam Turnquist cites historical data suggesting that if the S&P 500 reaches a new high at least 60 trading days after the last peak, the average return over the next 12 months is 9.7% [3] Group 3: Technical Indicators - The S&P 500 is currently in a severely overbought state, with a potential for a market pullback if breadth does not follow the index's rise [1][3] - Relative Strength Index (RSI) is expected to enter a "bearish" zone later this summer, indicating a possible market reversal [3] - Macro Risk Advisors' John Kolovos identifies the first technical support level for the S&P 500 at approximately 5,930 points, suggesting a potential decline of about 2.7% from recent closing prices [6]