【国际黄金，白银走势分析】 12月25日，周三（12月24日）：国际黄金开盘继续反弹走强，延续本周突破阻力后的买盘跟进和进一步 的看涨意愿，另外，美元指数经过连续两日的大幅回落，早间开盘继续偏弱，也对其金价产生利好支 撑。短期来看，美元指数布林带偏向开口向下，前景偏弱，后市将继续走低回落，而继续支持金价反 弹，因而，短期操作上，金价仍偏向看涨为主。日内将可关注美国至12月20日当周初请失业金人数（万 人）数据，市场预期保持不变，但根据趋势看涨，个人预计偏向降低而利空金价，但又根据昨日数据利 空金价的表现来看，晚间走势依然还是要么震荡，要么再度反弹转强。操作的主流方向看涨依然还是没 变。 【国际黄金，白银走势分析】 12月25日，周三（12月24日）：国际黄金开盘继续反弹走强，延续本周突破阻力后的买盘跟进和进一步 的看涨意愿，另外，美元指数经过连续两日的大幅回落，早间开盘继续偏弱，也对其金价产生利好支 撑。短期来看，美元指数布林带偏向开口向下，前景偏弱，后市将继续走低回落，而继续支持金价反 弹，因而，短期操作上，金价仍偏向看涨为主。日内将可关注美国至12月20日当周初请失业金人数（万 人）数据，市场预期保持不变 ...

美元/日元连续第三个交易日下跌。 测试20日简单移动平均线（SMA）附近的155.70支撑位。 IC平台从技术角度来看，动量指标证实了看跌基调。MACD指标正在回落至其红色信号线下方，但仍高于零轴；RSI指标倾向于跌破50的中性水平；随机指 标已从超买区域形成看跌交叉。与此同时，布林带正在收窄，价格在突破上轨后回落。 跌破20日简单移动平均线可能会触及50日简单移动平均线附近的强劲支撑位154.65——该水平已限制跌幅超过一个月，并与布林带下轨重合。跌破该水平 后，下一个目标是11月14日的低点153.60附近，随后是10月和9月的低点，分别约为152.00（与7月下降趋势线一致）和151.60。 美元/日元延续了从157.90以来的三天回调走势，形成看跌双顶形态，目前正在测试20日简单移动平均线（SMA）附近的155.70支撑位。 此走势反映了日本央行和美联储的政策分歧，投资者正在消化日本央行会议纪要——其中政策制定者讨论了进一步加息的必要性——而美联储降息预期上升 继续对美元构成压力。尽管美国第三季度GDP数据表现强劲，显示美国经济增速达到两年来的最快水平，但这些预期并未因此改变。 动量指标维持中性至看跌 ...

comex白银日线MACD指标释放看多信号，KDJ指标释放看多信号，RSI释放看多信号。 【技术分析】 沪银主力日线MACD指标释放看多信号，KDJ指标释放看多信号，RSI释放看多信号。 北京时间12月17日14:09，金投网行情中心数据显示：内盘白银期货上涨，截至发稿沪银主力最新报 15529.00元/千克，日内涨幅达5.17%，今日开盘价14690.00元/千克，最高价15555.00元/千克，最低价 14619.00元/千克，成交量1537061.00手，上一交易日沪银主力收盘于14666.00，基差为-92。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 外盘白银期货上涨，COMEX白银价格最新报66.47美元/盎司，日内涨幅达4.20%，上一交易日收盘于 63.80美元/盎司，今日开盘价63.80美元/盎司，最高价66.65美元/盎司，最低价63.73美元/盎司，成交量 41133.00手。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar index is experiencing a range-bound consolidation, reflecting intense market speculation regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, particularly the uncertainty surrounding the December interest rate decision [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The dollar index showed a slight recovery compared to the end of November, indicating a month-on-month decline that highlights the market's fierce debate over Federal Reserve policy expectations [1] - In November, market expectations shifted significantly, with a notable drop in the anticipation of a rate cut in December due to delays in the release of the October non-farm payroll report and divergent views among Federal Reserve policymakers [1] - The Federal Reserve's "Beige Book" revealed a decline in consumer spending and a weak job market, leading to a resurgence in the probability of a rate cut in December, which subsequently pressured the dollar index [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The dollar index is currently in a narrow range, with the upper boundary corresponding to the retracement neckline formed by the high on November 19, and the lower boundary representing recent low points, indicating a typical "box consolidation" pattern [2] - Short-term moving averages have formed a golden cross but are flattening, while medium to long-term moving averages are diverging downward, suggesting weak short-term support but an unresolved medium-term downtrend [2] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near neutral, indicating insufficient market momentum, while the MACD shows a narrowing green histogram followed by a slight increase in the red histogram, suggesting potential direction selection after short-term fluctuations [2] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - In the medium to long term, the Federal Reserve may have more room to cut rates in 2026 compared to other non-US central banks, potentially leading to a further downward shift in the dollar's volatility center [3] - Despite significant declines in 2025, the US economy still holds advantages over Europe and Japan, suggesting that any further declines in the dollar may be limited next year [3] - Various risk factors, including the US midterm elections and the execution of tariff agreements, are expected to intermittently disrupt market sentiment and increase exchange rate volatility [3]

摘要今日周二（11月25日）亚盘时段，伦敦金最新价格为4129.87美元/盎司，较前一交易日下跌13.76美 元，跌幅0.33%，日内最高达到4144.04美元/盎司，最低为4129.09美元/盎司。 今日周二（11月25日）亚盘时段，伦敦金最新价格为4129.87美元/盎司，较前一交易日下跌13.76美元， 跌幅0.33%，日内最高达到4144.04美元/盎司，最低为4129.09美元/盎司。 【要闻速递】 伦敦金在10月创下历史新高后回调，11月以来呈横盘震荡节奏，且逐步进入三角形整理区域，多空争夺 加剧。当前价格仍位于布林中轨之上，均线组基本粘合，参考价值有限，但MACD指标双线接近0轴， 多空动能相对均衡，暂无明确单边趋势信号。不过此前在4000美元关口形成"看涨锤子线"形态，暗示该 区域存在阶段性底部支撑，整体未破坏前期反弹框架。 伦敦金呈现标准的震荡区间走势，黄金价格在4130-4000美元区间反复运行，难以出现大涨大跌走势。 MACD绿柱持续缩小，动能指标偏向多头主导，但缺乏足够量能推动破位，短期大概率维持区间内的来 回波动，需等待市场消息刺激才能形成单边行情。 金价维持区间震荡上行态势，且稳定 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent trend of USD/CHF indicates a clear upward price momentum, driven more by price behavior itself rather than traditional factors like interest rate differentials or market risk appetite [1][2]. Price Signals and Momentum - The USD/CHF has shown a clear upward price signal, with short-term momentum leaning towards an increase [1]. - The currency pair broke above the 50-day moving average (50DMA) last week, quickly rising towards the October high levels [1]. Driving Factors of the Trend - The recent increase in USD/CHF is less correlated with traditional factors such as interest rate differentials or market risk preferences, suggesting that price behavior itself is a more significant influence [2]. - The correlation between USD/CHF and the yield differential of 10-year U.S. and Swiss government bonds has weakened, currently at about 0.7, indicating a reduced influence of these factors on the currency pair's movement [3]. Technical Analysis - The price has shown an overall upward trend in the past week, breaking through several key levels, indicating a bullish short-term market sentiment [6]. - Short-term resistance is around 0.8071, with potential targets at the previous October highs of 0.8124 and 0.8150 if this level is surpassed [6]. - Support levels are identified between 0.8000 and 0.8037, where the price may find support during pullbacks [7]. Market Indicators - Technical indicators suggest a strengthening upward momentum in the short term, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slightly above neutral, indicating a buying bias [9]. - The MACD indicator also reflects a short-term upward trend [9]. Upcoming Economic Data - Market attention is on the delayed September U.S. non-farm payroll report, with expectations of around 50,000 new jobs, compared to the actual 22,000 in August, which could impact market expectations for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path and subsequently the USD [10]. - Additionally, speeches from several Federal Reserve officials and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) chairman may cause short-term market fluctuations, warranting close monitoring of their potential impact on USD/CHF [10].

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - London gold is currently trading around $4009.71 per ounce, with a slight decline of 0.38% from the previous session, having reached a high of $4044.48 and a low of $4008.53 during the Asian trading session [1] - The short-term outlook for London gold appears to be a range-bound movement, with key support at $4000 per ounce and resistance at $4042 per ounce [4] Group 2: Technical Analysis - A bullish engulfing pattern was observed in the daily chart, indicating a potential short-term upward trend, although there is a conflicting head and shoulders pattern that may exert downward pressure [3] - The MACD indicator shows an increase in bullish momentum, with a DIF value of 5.66, DEA value of 1.13, and MACD value of 9.06 [4] Group 3: Future Price Predictions - Industry representatives at the London Bullion Market Association's annual conference predict that gold prices could rise to $4980 per ounce within the next 12 months, reflecting a 27% increase from current levels [5] - Short-term price movements will be influenced by Federal Reserve policy decisions and geopolitical factors [5]

Market Sentiment - The stock market in March 2025 is described as dull and filled with anxiety, with retail investors expressing frustration and desperation over their losses [1] - Investors are eagerly waiting for clear signals and indicators to guide their decisions, but the reality is that many are aware that the so-called "bottom" is often just a trap for unsuspecting traders [5] Technical Analysis - There is a significant reliance on technical indicators such as monthly, weekly, and daily charts, with conflicting opinions on which to prioritize [3] - On March 12, the Shenzhen Composite Index fell sharply by 2.3%, leading to despair among investors who feel lost in their trading strategies [3] - A friend of the author expresses skepticism about the reliability of daily indicators, having suffered a loss of 7,800 yuan due to misguided trades [7] Investment Strategies - Various aggressive investment strategies like pyramid and inverted pyramid averaging are being discussed among investors, but many are finding themselves in precarious positions as a result [9] - A young investor, new to the market, feels pressured to take risks despite not wanting to gamble, reflecting the broader sentiment of uncertainty among retail investors [11] Market Dynamics - On April 8, a slight market rebound occurred, but the net inflow of northbound funds was only 120 million yuan, significantly lower than the same period last year, raising doubts about the sustainability of this recovery [7] - The narrative of "technical resonance" is questioned, suggesting that it may be an illusion created by capital flows rather than genuine market strength [7] Conclusion - The overall atmosphere in the market is one of uncertainty and hesitation, with many investors waiting for a sign of redemption that may never come, leading to a cycle of regret and missed opportunities [13]

Group 1 - The essence of stock trading is compared to gambling, where human emotions like fear and greed are amplified [1][15] - The importance of understanding both tools (like fishing rods) and skills (like fishing techniques) in trading is emphasized [2][15] - The article outlines a systematic approach to stock trading using monthly, weekly, and daily charts to identify trends and entry points [4][11] Group 2 - Monthly charts are used to assess the overall trend and the resonance between stock price and fundamentals [4][5] - Weekly charts help identify support levels and confirm the end of accumulation phases through indicators like MACD [7][9] - Daily charts are crucial for pinpointing entry points, particularly when MACD shows a second golden cross above the zero line [11][12] Group 3 - Different strategies for adding to positions (pyramiding) are discussed, including pyramid, inverse pyramid, and parallel methods [12][13][14] - The article stresses the importance of following market trends and avoiding counterproductive strategies like averaging down [14][15] - The psychological aspects of trading are highlighted, noting that many traders struggle with emotional decision-making and often repeat past mistakes [15][16]

Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes the importance of accurately identifying entry and exit points in the stock market for maximizing profits [1] - Investors need to develop analytical and decision-making skills to navigate market trends effectively [1] - The saying "there are no unprofitable stocks, only unprofitable operations" highlights that any stock can yield profits if managed correctly [1] Group 2 - Many investors enter the market without sufficient knowledge, relying on hearsay, which can lead to losses [3] - Learning basic stock trading knowledge and reflecting on experiences can lead to eventual profitability [3] - Seven strategies for quick profits include observing stock price movements within the first 30 minutes of trading and using moving averages for buy/sell decisions [3][4] Group 3 - Focusing on leading stocks is crucial, as they tend to perform better during market uptrends and are more resilient during downturns [4][5] - Embracing market trends and understanding that the best buying price is not necessarily the lowest but the most suitable is essential [5] - The MACD indicator is highlighted as a valuable tool for identifying entry and exit signals based on price movements [5][6][7] Group 4 - A systematic approach to trading, including phased entry and exit strategies, is recommended to manage risk effectively [14][15] - Initial buying should be limited to a maximum of 30% of available funds, with subsequent phases allowing for increased investment as confidence grows [14][15] - The importance of not chasing prices and maintaining a disciplined approach to trading is emphasized [15][16] Group 5 - Trusting a well-tested trading system is crucial, as no method guarantees a 100% success rate [16] - Adapting to market conditions without abandoning a proven system is essential for long-term success [17] - The tendency to switch strategies during losing streaks can lead to confusion and inconsistency in trading performance [17]