Workflow
硬实力陷阱
icon
Search documents
邓正红软实力思想解析:美国烟花困局背后的软实力迭代逻辑与“硬实力陷阱”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-28 15:02
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the potential "fireworks shortage" in the U.S. for the 2026 Independence Day celebrations due to a 145% tariff policy imposed by the Trump administration, which has disrupted the supply chain heavily reliant on Chinese production [1][4]. Industry Analysis - The U.S. fireworks industry is facing a critical supply chain issue as 95% of global fireworks production is concentrated in Liuyang, Hunan, China, and the punitive tariffs have led U.S. importers to halt orders for 2026 [1][2]. - The summer production cycle in China is a rigid constraint, and if the U.S. does not adjust its tariff strategy by the end of June, it risks missing the only production window for the year [2][3]. Strategic Implications - The reliance on Chinese fireworks production exposes a strategic flaw in U.S. supply chain planning, which emphasizes hard power control over soft power collaboration [2][3]. - The punitive tariffs, while intended as a trade protection measure, reveal contradictions in U.S. globalization strategies, as they undermine the credibility of U.S. businesses in the international market [2][3]. Cultural and Political Impact - Fireworks are a cultural symbol for national celebrations, and a shortage could significantly impact the U.S.'s soft power narrative, as the country may be seen as unable to uphold its celebratory traditions due to reliance on Chinese manufacturing [3][4]. - The situation illustrates a shift in global governance dynamics, where China's technological and production capabilities allow it to dictate terms in specific industries, challenging U.S. dominance [3][4].